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Kentucky · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Scott County, KY

15 FEMA disaster declarations (1974-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

15
FEMA declarations
8
Major disasters
56
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Scott County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 15 declarations, more than 23% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 47% below the Kentucky county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 44%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 44%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
15
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
79
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 21209 · Scott County 15 declarations · rank 2403/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 15
  • MAJOR-MID 53%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,403
  • PHOTO-FINISH Polk
  • NRI-LOW 56
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -47%

Nearest declaration peer: Polk, OR (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Kentucky state profile

Scott County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Scott County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Scott County carries 15 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2403 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Scott County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Scott County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Scott County

15 23rd percentile higher than 23% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Scott County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Kentucky avg44/10056.1/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Kentucky county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Scott County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $9.3M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Strong Wind carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Scott County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 79 paid claims, totaling $1.9M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $23.4K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Kentucky county averages 28.1 federal declaration records, while Scott County has 15. The gap is 47% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 56.1/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $20.6M in annualized losses), and a Relatively Low social-vulnerability profile combined with Very High community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Strong Wind stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 5.7 times per year here, based on 216 historical events on record.

51 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Scott County, KY · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
11/30

15 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.7x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
7/25

15 declarations (0.5x state county average of 28)

Major Disaster Share High
13/25

8 of 15 declarations are major disasters (53%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Scott County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Scott County

Scott County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 8, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 24 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 24 8-hazard mean
Scott County NRI risk profile FIPS 21209 · displayed-hazard mean 24/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

15

Below median

Major Disaster share

53%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

56

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Scott County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 5.7 times per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 6 years
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 501 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 51 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 11 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.4 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 3.2 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 1.3 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 2.7 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 3 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 66 years
Drought Very Low 2.5 modeled event-days per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 44,149 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 5
Biological 2
Severe Ice Storm 2
Snowstorm 2
Winter Storm 1
Flood 1
Hurricane 1
Tornado 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Scott County's record, 33% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 8 53.3%

of all 15 declarations

Emergency - 7 46.7%

of all 15 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 2
2020 2
2015 1
2009 2
2005 1
2004 1
2003 1
1997 1
1996 1
1993 1
1974 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 15 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 15 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3633 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
3626 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-03
3624 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES EM Severe Storm 2025-02-16
4497 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-28
3469 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4217 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2015-05-01
1818 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 2009-02-05
3302 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2009-01-28
3231 HURRICANE KATRINA EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1523 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2004-06-10
1454 SEVERE WINTER ICE AND SNOW STORMS, HEAVY RAIN, FLOODING, TORNADOES, AND MUD AND DR Severe Storm 2003-03-14
1163 SEVERE STORM, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 1997-03-04
1089 BLIZZARD OF 96 DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
3104 SEVERE SNOWFALL & WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-16
420 TORNADOES DR Tornado 1974-04-04

Storm Events in Kentucky

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Scott County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,702 9 56 $55.2M
Flash Flood 1,757 65 16 $42.6M
Flood 1,646 31 6 $37.1M
Hail 1,534 1 0 $4.7M
Winter Weather 1,079 14 54 $655.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

79

Total Paid

$1.9M

Avg Per Claim

$23.4K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 56.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$20.6M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Strong Wind Relatively High
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Drought Very Low
Wildfire Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Strong Wind

Strong Wind covers damaging non-thunderstorm, non-tornadic wind, the kind produced by steep pressure gradients and downslope events. It is a broad, frequent, low-drama hazard: roofs, signage, power lines and high-profile vehicles, spread across a wide area rather than concentrated on a path.

For Scott County the two measures on this page point the same way: Strong Wind is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively High), and Severe Storm declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Scott County's closest FEMA peer: Borden County, TX

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Scott County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Scott County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Scott County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Scott County's NFIP claims file (79 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Scott County?
The most common disaster type in Scott County is Severe Storm, with 5 declarations. Other disaster types include Biological (2), Severe Ice Storm (2), Snowstorm (2).
How does Scott County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Kentucky average?
The typical Kentucky county has 28.1 FEMA declaration records; Scott County has 15, or 47% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 28% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Scott County received?
Scott County has received 8 major disaster declarations, representing 53% of all 15 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Scott County filed?
Scott County has 79 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $1.9M in payments, with an average of $23.4K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Scott County?
No. In Scott County, Strong Wind has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $9.3M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Scott County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Scott County was 2009, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1974 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Scott County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Scott County, Kentucky has an overall risk score of 56.1 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Low; on community resilience, Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $20.6M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Scott County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Scott County is Strong Wind (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Tornado (Relatively Moderate) and Earthquake (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts strong wind here at an average of 5.7 times per year, drawn from 216 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Scott County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Kentucky profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events