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Arkansas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Greene County, AR

28 FEMA disaster declarations (1968-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

28
FEMA declarations
22
Major disasters
80
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Greene County. Its 28 FEMA declarations are 16% above the Arkansas county mean and exceed the count for 81% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 20%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 20%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
28
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
235
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 05055 · Greene County 28 declarations · rank 542/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-MID · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 28
  • MAJOR-MID 79%
  • RANK-MID #542
  • PHOTO-FINISH Loíza
  • NRI-LOW 80
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +16%

Nearest declaration peer: Loíza, PR (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Arkansas state profile

Greene County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Greene County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Greene County carries 28 FEMA declaration records, ranked 542 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Greene County ranks in the national declaration registry

Greene County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Greene County

28 Top 19% higher than 81% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Greene County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Arkansas avg56/10080.2/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Arkansas county average

What does Greene County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 235 paid claims, totaling $1.0M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $4.5K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Greene County's 28 federal records stand 16% above the Arkansas county mean of 24.2. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 80.2/100 (Relatively Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Low (roughly $33.9M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively High and community resilience Relatively Low, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Earthquake carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 91 years here.

72 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Greene County, AR · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
20/30

28 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.4x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
14/25

28 declarations (1.2x state county average of 24)

Major Disaster Share Very High
20/25

22 of 28 declarations are major disasters (79%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Greene County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Greene County

Greene County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 48, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 41 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 41 8-hazard mean
Greene County NRI risk profile FIPS 05055 · displayed-hazard mean 41/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

28

High volume

Major Disaster share

79%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

80

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Greene County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Earthquake Relatively Moderate roughly once every 91 years
Ice Storm Very High an average of 1.2 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 19 modeled event-days per year
Drought Relatively Moderate 9.7 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 57 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 7.3 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.4 times per year
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 2 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 55 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 2.5 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 3,439 years
Hail Very Low an average of 3.3 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 14
Flood 4
Severe Ice Storm 3
Hurricane 2
Biological 2
Tornado 2
Winter Storm 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Greene County's record, 50% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 22 78.6%

of all 28 declarations

Emergency - 6 21.4%

of all 28 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 3
2024 1
2020 3
2016 1
2011 1
2010 1
2009 4
2008 1
2006 1
2005 1
2003 1
2002 1
2001 1
1999 1
Show 5 earlier declaration years
1997 2
1989 1
1973 1
1969 1
1968 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 28 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 28 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3636 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4873 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2025-05-21
4865 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2025-05-08
3627 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-05
4788 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2024-05-30
3541 HURRICANE LAURA EM Hurricane 2020-08-27
4518 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-03
3461 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4254 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2016-02-05
1975 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND ASSOCIATED FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-02
1872 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2010-02-04
1845 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-06-16
1819 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2009-02-06
3301 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2009-01-28
1804 TROPICAL STORM IKE DR Severe Storm 2008-10-22
1751 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-03-26
1636 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2006-04-12
3215 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
1450 SEVERE ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2003-01-06
1400 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-01-24
Show 8 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1354 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2000-12-29
1266 AR SEVERE WEATHER 1-21-99 DR Severe Storm 1999-01-23
1176 FLOODING, SEVERE STORMS DR Flood 1997-04-14
1162 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 1997-03-02
817 SEVERE STORMS & TORNADOES DR Tornado 1988-11-23
375 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-04-27
254 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1969-02-15
239 TORNADOES, SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Tornado 1968-05-29

Storm Events in Arkansas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Greene County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 3,657 10 23 $60.9M
Hail 2,230 0 0 $7.7M
Flash Flood 1,517 12 3 $15.9M
Heat 1,222 2 325 $0
Flood 1,152 9 0 $40.2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

235

Total Paid

$1.0M

Avg Per Claim

$4.5K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 80.2/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$33.9M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Earthquake Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Very High
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Landslide Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Hail Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Earthquake

Earthquake is the model's clearest example of a hazard with no season and no warning. Its expected loss is driven less by how often shaking occurs than by how much of the building stock predates modern seismic codes, so exposure can be high in places where nothing has happened for a long time.

Worth noting for Greene County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Earthquake carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Greene County's closest FEMA peer: Ward County, ND

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Greene County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Greene County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Greene County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Greene County's NFIP claims file (235 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Greene County?
The most common disaster type in Greene County is Severe Storm, with 14 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (4), Severe Ice Storm (3), Hurricane (2).
How does Greene County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Arkansas average?
FEMA lists 28 declaration records for Greene County. That is 16% above the Arkansas county mean of 24.2. Its count is also 35% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Greene County received?
Greene County has received 22 major disaster declarations, representing 79% of all 28 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Greene County filed?
Greene County has 235 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $1.0M in payments, with an average of $4.5K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Greene County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Greene County was 2009, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1968 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Greene County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Greene County, Arkansas has an overall risk score of 80.2 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively High; on community resilience, Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $33.9M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Greene County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Greene County as of the latest release is Earthquake (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Ice Storm (Very High) and Heat Wave (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts earthquake here at roughly once every 91 years. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Greene County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Arkansas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events