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The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Missouri · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Dunklin County, MO

22 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

22
FEMA declarations
16
Major disasters
80
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Dunklin County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 22 declarations, more than 57% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 11% below the Missouri county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 20%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 20%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
22
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
57
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 29069 · Dunklin County 22 declarations · rank 1324/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 22
  • MAJOR-MID 73%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,324
  • PHOTO-FINISH Hardy
  • NRI-LOW 80
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -11%

Nearest declaration peer: Hardy, WV (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Missouri state profile

Dunklin County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Dunklin County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Dunklin County carries 22 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1324 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Dunklin County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Dunklin County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Dunklin County

22 Top 43% higher than 57% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Dunklin County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Missouri avg51/10080.1/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Missouri county average

What does Dunklin County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 57 paid claims, totaling $399.5K. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $7.0K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Missouri county averages 24.6 federal declaration records, while Dunklin County has 22. The gap is 11% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 80.1/100 (Relatively Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Low (roughly $30.8M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively High and community resilience Relatively Low, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Earthquake carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 75 years here.

60 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Dunklin County, MO · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
16/30

22 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.1x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
11/25

22 declarations (0.9x state county average of 25)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

16 of 22 declarations are major disasters (73%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Dunklin County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Dunklin County

Dunklin County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 48, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 70, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 41 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 41 8-hazard mean
Dunklin County NRI risk profile FIPS 29069 · displayed-hazard mean 41/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

22

Above median

Major Disaster share

73%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

80

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Dunklin County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Earthquake Relatively Moderate roughly once every 75 years
Ice Storm Relatively High an average of 1.2 times per year
Drought Relatively High 13 modeled event-days per year
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 18 modeled event-days per year
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 7.6 times per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 58 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 2 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 2.6 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 76 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.3 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Hail Very Low an average of 3.1 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 17,710 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 13
Flood 3
Biological 2
Severe Ice Storm 2
Hurricane 1
Tornado 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Dunklin County's record, 59% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 16 72.7%

of all 22 declarations

Emergency - 6 27.3%

of all 22 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2025 2
2022 1
2020 3
2019 1
2017 1
2016 2
2011 2
2009 3
2008 2
2006 1
2005 1
2002 1
1979 1
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 22 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 22 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4867 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND WILDFIRES DR Severe Storm 2025-05-21
4872 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2025-05-21
4636 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2022-01-10
4552 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2020-07-09
4490 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-26
3482 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4451 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2019-07-09
4317 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2017-06-02
4250 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2016-01-21
3374 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING EM Flood 2016-01-02
1980 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-09
3317 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2011-02-03
1822 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2009-02-17
3303 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2009-01-30
1809 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND A TORNADO DR Severe Storm 2008-11-13
1749 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-03-19
3281 SEVERE WINTER STORMS EM Severe Ice Storm 2007-12-12
1635 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2006-04-05
3232 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1412 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-05-06
Show 2 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
579 TORNADOES, TORRENTIAL RAIN & FLOODING DR Tornado 1979-04-21
372 HEAVY RAINS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1973-04-19

Storm Events in Missouri

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Dunklin County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,391 30 52 $63.4M
Hail 4,411 0 1 $86.1M
Flash Flood 2,399 47 14 $406.6M
Flood 1,810 25 7 $304.6M
Drought 1,033 0 350 $53.6M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

57

Total Paid

$399.5K

Avg Per Claim

$7.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 80.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$30.8M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Earthquake Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively High
Drought Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Hail Very Low
Wildfire Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Earthquake

Earthquake is the model's clearest example of a hazard with no season and no warning. Its expected loss is driven less by how often shaking occurs than by how much of the building stock predates modern seismic codes, so exposure can be high in places where nothing has happened for a long time.

Worth noting for Dunklin County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Earthquake carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Dunklin County's closest FEMA peer: Dauphin County, PA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Dunklin County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Dunklin County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Dunklin County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Dunklin County's NFIP claims file (57 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Dunklin County?
The most common disaster type in Dunklin County is Severe Storm, with 13 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (3), Biological (2), Severe Ice Storm (2).
How does Dunklin County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Missouri average?
The typical Missouri county has 24.6 FEMA declaration records; Dunklin County has 22, or 11% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 6% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Dunklin County received?
Dunklin County has received 16 major disaster declarations, representing 73% of all 22 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Dunklin County filed?
Dunklin County has 57 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $399.5K in payments, with an average of $7.0K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Dunklin County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Dunklin County was 2009, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2025.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Dunklin County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Dunklin County, Missouri has an overall risk score of 80.1 out of 100 (Relatively Low). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively High, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $30.8M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Dunklin County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Dunklin County as of the latest release is Earthquake (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Ice Storm (Relatively High) and Drought (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts earthquake here at roughly once every 75 years. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Dunklin County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Missouri profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events