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Arkansas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Mississippi County, AR

21 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

21
FEMA declarations
13
Major disasters
89
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Mississippi County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 21 declarations, more than 52% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 13% below the Arkansas county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 11%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 11%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
21
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
91
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 05093 · Mississippi County 21 declarations · rank 1498/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-MID · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 21
  • MAJOR-MID 62%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,498
  • PHOTO-FINISH Montgomery
  • NRI-MID 89
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -13%

Nearest declaration peer: Montgomery, IN (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Arkansas state profile

Mississippi County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Mississippi County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Mississippi County carries 21 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1498 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Mississippi County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Mississippi County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Mississippi County

21 Top 48% higher than 52% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Mississippi County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Arkansas avg56/10089.2/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Arkansas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Mississippi County is led by Earthquake (about $31.9M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Very High), while Drought carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Mississippi County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 91 paid claims, totaling $2.2M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $23.7K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Arkansas county averages 24.2 federal declaration records, while Mississippi County has 21. The gap is 13% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 89.2/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Low (roughly $51.8M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Very High and community resilience Relatively Low, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Drought stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 13 modeled event-days per year here, based on 427 historical events on record.

59 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Mississippi County, AR · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
15/30

21 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
11/25

21 declarations (0.9x state county average of 24)

Major Disaster Share High
15/25

13 of 21 declarations are major disasters (62%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Mississippi County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Mississippi County

Mississippi County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 48, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 70, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 43 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 43 8-hazard mean
Mississippi County NRI risk profile FIPS 05093 · displayed-hazard mean 43/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

21

Above median

Major Disaster share

62%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

89

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Mississippi County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Drought Relatively High 13 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Relatively Moderate roughly once every 72 years
Ice Storm Very High an average of 1.4 times per year
Lightning Relatively High an average of 58 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 20 modeled event-days per year
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 7 times per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 2.4 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.2 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 3.2 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 103 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 1.7 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 20,299 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 8
Flood 3
Severe Ice Storm 3
Tornado 2
Hurricane 2
Biological 2
Winter Storm 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Mississippi County's record, 38% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 13 61.9%

of all 21 declarations

Emergency - 8 38.1%

of all 21 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 2
2022 1
2020 3
2017 1
2016 1
2011 1
2009 2
2008 2
2005 1
2001 2
1998 1
1997 1
1988 1
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 21 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 21 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3636 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4873 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2025-05-21
3627 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-05
4633 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Tornado 2021-12-23
3541 HURRICANE LAURA EM Hurricane 2020-08-27
4518 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-03
3461 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4318 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2017-06-15
4254 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2016-02-05
1975 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND ASSOCIATED FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-02
1819 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2009-02-06
3301 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2009-01-28
1758 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2008-05-20
1751 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-03-26
3215 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
1354 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2000-12-29
3159 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2000-12-28
3125 TORNADOES, FLOODING HIGH WINDS EM Tornado 1998-04-22
1162 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 1997-03-02
807 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1987-12-31
Show 1 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
375 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-04-27

Storm Events in Arkansas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Mississippi County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 3,657 10 23 $60.9M
Hail 2,230 0 0 $7.7M
Flash Flood 1,517 12 3 $15.9M
Heat 1,222 2 325 $0
Flood 1,152 9 0 $40.2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

91

Total Paid

$2.2M

Avg Per Claim

$23.7K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 89.2/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$51.8M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Drought Relatively High
Earthquake Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Very High
Lightning Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Wildfire Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Drought

Drought is the slowest of the modeled hazards and the least visible: it does its damage to agriculture, water supply and soil over seasons rather than hours, so it rarely produces the kind of single-day damage that drives a disaster declaration. FEMA scores it in event-days per year rather than discrete events for exactly that reason.

Worth noting for Mississippi County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Drought carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Mississippi County's closest FEMA peer: Pike County, GA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Mississippi County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Mississippi County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Mississippi County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Mississippi County's NFIP claims file (91 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Mississippi County?
The most common disaster type in Mississippi County is Severe Storm, with 8 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (3), Severe Ice Storm (3), Tornado (2).
How does Mississippi County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Arkansas average?
The typical Arkansas county has 24.2 FEMA declaration records; Mississippi County has 21, or 13% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 1% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Mississippi County received?
Mississippi County has received 13 major disaster declarations, representing 62% of all 21 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Mississippi County filed?
Mississippi County has 91 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $2.2M in payments, with an average of $23.7K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Mississippi County?
No. In Mississippi County, Drought has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Earthquake leads Expected Annual Loss at about $31.9M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Mississippi County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Mississippi County was 2020, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Mississippi County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Mississippi County, Arkansas has an overall risk score of 89.2 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). Social vulnerability here rates Very High, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $51.8M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Mississippi County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Mississippi County is Drought (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Earthquake (Relatively Moderate) and Ice Storm (Very High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts drought here at 13 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 427 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Mississippi County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Arkansas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events