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The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Texas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Hale County, TX

15 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2021), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

15
FEMA declarations
9
Major disasters
78
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Hale County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 15 declarations, more than 23% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 28% below the Texas county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 22%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 22%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
15
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
13
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 48189 · Hale County 15 declarations · rank 2381/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 15
  • MAJOR-MID 60%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,381
  • PHOTO-FINISH Polk
  • NRI-LOW 78
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -28%

Nearest declaration peer: Polk, OR (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Texas state profile

Hale County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Hale County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Hale County carries 15 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2381 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Hale County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Hale County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Hale County

15 23rd percentile higher than 23% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Hale County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Texas avg49/10078.4/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

What does Hale County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 78.4/100 (Relatively Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Low (roughly $30.9M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively High and community resilience Relatively Low, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Hail stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 5.7 times per year here, based on 218 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 13 claims and $34.4K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Texas county averages 20.9 federal declaration records, while Hale County has 15. The gap is 28% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

50 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Hale County, TX · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
11/30

15 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.7x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
9/25

15 declarations (0.7x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share High
15/25

9 of 15 declarations are major disasters (60%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Hale County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Hale County

Hale County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 48, Wildfire 25, Drought 70, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 33 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 33 8-hazard mean
Hale County NRI risk profile FIPS 48189 · displayed-hazard mean 33/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

15

Below median

Major Disaster share

60%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

78

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Hale County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Hail Very High an average of 5.7 times per year
Drought Relatively High 84 modeled event-days per year
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 7.7 times per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 2.6 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 345 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 48 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 1.5 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1 time per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 2,141 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 109 years
Heat Wave Very Low 1.4 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 11 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Fire 3
Hurricane 3
Severe Storm 3
Severe Ice Storm 2
Biological 2
Tornado 2

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Hale County's record, 20% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 9 60.0%

of all 15 declarations

Emergency - 6 40.0%

of all 15 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2021 2
2020 2
2008 1
2006 1
2005 3
1999 1
1998 1
1992 1
1989 1
1970 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 15 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 15 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4586 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-19
3554 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-14
4485 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3458 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3284 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2008-03-14
1624 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-11
1606 HURRICANE RITA DR Hurricane 2005-09-24
3261 HURRICANE RITA EM Hurricane 2005-09-21
3216 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
3142 EXTREME FIRE HAZARDS EM Fire 1999-09-01
1239 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DR Severe Storm 1998-08-26
960 EXCESSIVE RAIN & HAIL DR Severe Storm 1992-09-09
828 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1989-05-19
286 TORNADOES, WINDSTORMS & FLOODING DR Tornado 1970-05-13
199 TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Tornado 1965-06-19

Storm Events in Texas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Hale County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 14,072 0 15 $7.4B
Thunderstorm Wind 10,293 41 141 $369.9M
Drought 7,032 0 0 $86.0K
Flash Flood 4,728 338 24 $47.6B
Heat 4,079 119 405 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

13

Total Paid

$34.4K

Avg Per Claim

$2.6K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 78.4/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$30.9M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Hail Very High
Drought Relatively High
Winter Weather Relatively High
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively High
Wildfire Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Landslide Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Hail

Hail is among the most expensive hazards in the model relative to how little it threatens life. It concentrates on roofs, vehicles and crops, and a single severe storm can generate an insurance loss across a metropolitan area without a single injury.

For Hale County the two measures on this page point the same way: Hail is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Very High), and Severe Storm declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Hale County's closest FEMA peer: Richmond (city), VA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Hale County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Hale County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Hale County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 15 FEMA declarations, Hale County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Hale County?
The most common disaster type in Hale County is Severe Storm, with 3 declarations. Other disaster types include Fire (3), Hurricane (3), Severe Ice Storm (2).
How does Hale County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Texas average?
The typical Texas county has 20.9 FEMA declaration records; Hale County has 15, or 28% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 28% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Hale County received?
Hale County has received 9 major disaster declarations, representing 60% of all 15 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Hale County filed?
Hale County has 13 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $34.4K in payments, with an average of $2.6K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Hale County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Hale County was 2005, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2021.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Hale County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Hale County, Texas has an overall risk score of 78.4 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively High; on community resilience, Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $30.9M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Hale County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Hale County is Hail (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Drought (Relatively High) and Winter Weather (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts hail here at an average of 5.7 times per year, drawn from 218 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Hale County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Texas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events