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Texas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Lubbock County, TX

20 FEMA disaster declarations (1970-2021), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

20
FEMA declarations
11
Major disasters
96
NRI risk · Relatively High
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Lubbock County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 20 declarations, more than 46% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 4% below the Texas county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 4%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 4%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively High
FEMA National Risk Index rating
20
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
346
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 48303 · Lubbock County 20 declarations · rank 1628/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-HIGH · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 20
  • MAJOR-MID 55%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,628
  • PHOTO-FINISH Monona
  • NRI-HIGH 96
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-BELOW -4%

Nearest declaration peer: Monona, IA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Texas state profile

Lubbock County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Lubbock County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Lubbock County carries 20 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1628 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Lubbock County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Lubbock County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Lubbock County

20 46th percentile higher than 46% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Lubbock County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Texas avg49/10096.2/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

What does Lubbock County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 346 paid claims, totaling $2.7M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $7.9K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Texas county averages 20.9 federal declaration records, while Lubbock County has 20. The gap is 4% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 96.2/100 (Relatively High). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively High (roughly $213.5M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Moderate and community resilience Relatively Moderate, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Drought stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 76 modeled event-days per year here, based on 2,681 historical events on record.

58 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Lubbock County, TX · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
14/30

20 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

20 declarations (1.0x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share High
14/25

11 of 20 declarations are major disasters (55%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Lubbock County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Lubbock County

Lubbock County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 48, Hurricane 8, Tornado 70, Wildfire 25, Drought 92, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 51 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 51 8-hazard mean
Lubbock County NRI risk profile FIPS 48303 · displayed-hazard mean 51/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

20

Above median

Major Disaster share

55%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

96

Relatively High

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Lubbock County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Drought Very High 76 modeled event-days per year
Hail Very High an average of 4.9 times per year
Strong Wind Very High an average of 2.2 times per year
Tornado Relatively High roughly once every 2 years
Winter Weather Very High an average of 7.4 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively High an average of 1.2 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 2.3 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively High roughly once every 2 years
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 585 years
Lightning Relatively High an average of 48 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 2.4 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 3,401 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 133 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 12 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 6
Severe Storm 5
Fire 3
Severe Ice Storm 2
Biological 2
Drought 1
Tornado 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Lubbock County's federal record, 30% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 11 55.0%

of all 20 declarations

Emergency - 9 45.0%

of all 20 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2021 2
2020 2
2016 1
2015 1
2010 1
2008 3
2006 1
2005 3
1999 1
1998 1
1993 1
1992 1
1989 1
1970 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 20 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 20 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4586 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-19
3554 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-14
4485 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3458 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4255 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2016-02-09
4223 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-05-29
1931 HURRICANE ALEX DR Hurricane 2010-08-03
3294 HURRICANE IKE EM Hurricane 2008-09-10
3290 HURRICANE GUSTAV EM Hurricane 2008-08-29
3284 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2008-03-14
1624 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-11
1606 HURRICANE RITA DR Hurricane 2005-09-24
3261 HURRICANE RITA EM Hurricane 2005-09-21
3216 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
3142 EXTREME FIRE HAZARDS EM Fire 1999-09-01
1239 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DR Severe Storm 1998-08-26
3113 EXTREME FIRE HAZARD EM Drought 1993-09-10
960 EXCESSIVE RAIN & HAIL DR Severe Storm 1992-09-09
828 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1989-05-19
286 TORNADOES, WINDSTORMS & FLOODING DR Tornado 1970-05-13

Storm Events in Texas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Lubbock County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 14,072 0 15 $7.4B
Thunderstorm Wind 10,293 41 141 $369.9M
Drought 7,032 0 0 $86.0K
Flash Flood 4,728 338 24 $47.6B
Heat 4,079 119 405 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

346

Total Paid

$2.7M

Avg Per Claim

$7.9K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively High

Score: 96.2/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively High

$213.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Drought Very High
Hail Very High
Strong Wind Very High
Tornado Relatively High
Winter Weather Very High
Cold Wave Relatively High
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively High
Wildfire Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Landslide Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Drought

Drought is the slowest of the modeled hazards and the least visible: it does its damage to agriculture, water supply and soil over seasons rather than hours, so it rarely produces the kind of single-day damage that drives a disaster declaration. FEMA scores it in event-days per year rather than discrete events for exactly that reason.

Worth noting for Lubbock County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Drought carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Lubbock County's closest FEMA peer: Saratoga County, NY

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Lubbock County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Lubbock County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Lubbock County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Lubbock County's NFIP claims file (346 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Lubbock County?
The most common disaster type in Lubbock County is Hurricane, with 6 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (5), Fire (3), Severe Ice Storm (2).
How does Lubbock County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Texas average?
The typical Texas county has 20.9 FEMA declaration records; Lubbock County has 20, or 4% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 3% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Lubbock County received?
Lubbock County has received 11 major disaster declarations, representing 55% of all 20 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Lubbock County filed?
Lubbock County has 346 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $2.7M in payments, with an average of $7.9K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Lubbock County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Lubbock County was 2005, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1970 to 2021.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Lubbock County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Lubbock County, Texas has an overall risk score of 96.2 out of 100 (Relatively High). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Moderate and community resilience is Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively High, representing $213.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Lubbock County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Lubbock County is Drought (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Hail (Very High) and Strong Wind (Very High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts drought here at 76 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 2,681 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Lubbock County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Texas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events