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Missouri · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Jasper County, MO

22 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

22
FEMA declarations
16
Major disasters
86
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Jasper County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 22 declarations, more than 57% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 11% below the Missouri county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 14%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 14%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
22
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
175
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Jasper County compare?

Jasper County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

22 Top 43% higher than 57% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Jasper County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Missouri county average

0/100100/100Missouri avg51/10085.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Missouri county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Jasper County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $26.4M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Ice Storm carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Jasper County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 175 paid claims, totaling $2.8M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $16.0K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Missouri county averages 24.6 federal declaration records, while Jasper County has 22. The gap is 11% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 85.6/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $58.5M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Low and community resilience Relatively Moderate, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Ice Storm stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.1 times per year here, based on 77 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

Nationally, Jasper County's 22 FEMA records form a high-volume history; within Missouri, however, the count is 11% below the county mean. 16 entries carry the Major Disaster classification. The largest incident group is Severe Storm, appearing 10 times. The full 47-year record averages 0.5 declarations annually. A DR label alone does not say whether Individual Assistance, Public Assistance, or both followed.

58 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Jasper County, MO · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
16/30

22 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.1x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
11/25

22 declarations (0.9x state county average of 25)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

16 of 22 declarations are major disasters (73%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Jasper County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Missouri Avg

-11%

State avg: 24.6

vs. National Avg

+6%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.5

Over 47 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Jasper County

Jasper County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 48, Hurricane 8, Tornado 70, Wildfire 25, Drought 70, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 48 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 48 8-hazard mean
Jasper County NRI risk profile FIPS 29097 · displayed-hazard mean 48/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

22

Above median

Major Disaster share

73%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

86

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Jasper County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Ice Storm Very High an average of 1.1 times per year
Tornado Relatively High roughly once every 2 years
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 16 modeled event-days per year
Drought Relatively High 12 modeled event-days per year
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 7.5 times per year
Lightning Relatively High an average of 56 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 6 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 10 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 4.9 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 634 years
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 2.2 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 1,119 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 8 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 10
Flood 5
Severe Ice Storm 4
Biological 2
Hurricane 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Jasper County's record, 45% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 16 72.7%

of all 22 declarations

Emergency - 6 27.3%

of all 22 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 2
2019 1
2017 1
2016 2
2011 2
2009 2
2008 4
2007 1
2005 1
2003 1
2002 1
1995 1
1993 1
1976 1
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 22 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 22 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4490 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-26
3482 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4451 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2019-07-09
4317 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2017-06-02
4250 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2016-01-21
3374 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING EM Flood 2016-01-02
1980 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-09
3317 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2011-02-03
1847 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-06-19
3303 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2009-01-30
1760 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2008-05-23
1749 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-03-19
1736 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2007-12-27
3281 SEVERE WINTER STORMS EM Severe Ice Storm 2007-12-12
1676 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 2007-01-15
3232 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1463 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-05-06
1412 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-05-06
1054 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, HAIL, FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1995-06-02
995 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-07-09
Show 2 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
516 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1976-07-21
372 HEAVY RAINS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1973-04-19

Storm Events in Missouri

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Jasper County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,391 30 52 $63.4M
Hail 4,411 0 1 $86.1M
Flash Flood 2,399 47 14 $406.6M
Flood 1,810 25 7 $304.6M
Drought 1,033 0 350 $53.6M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

175

Total Paid

$2.8M

Avg Per Claim

$16.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 85.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$58.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Ice Storm Very High
Tornado Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively High
Hail Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively High
Strong Wind Relatively High
Winter Weather Relatively High
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Landslide Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Ice Storm

Ice storms load power lines and tree limbs with accumulating freezing rain until they fail. The characteristic cost is infrastructure and multi-day power loss across a wide area rather than structural damage to buildings, which is why their consequences often outlast the weather that caused them.

Worth noting for Jasper County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Ice Storm carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Jasper County's closest FEMA peer: Dauphin County, PA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Jasper County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Jasper County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Jasper County's NFIP claims file (175 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Jasper County?
The most common disaster type in Jasper County is Severe Storm, with 10 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (5), Severe Ice Storm (4), Biological (2).
How does Jasper County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Missouri average?
The typical Missouri county has 24.6 FEMA declaration records; Jasper County has 22, or 11% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 6% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Jasper County received?
Jasper County has received 16 major disaster declarations, representing 73% of all 22 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Jasper County filed?
Jasper County has 175 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $2.8M in payments, with an average of $16.0K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Jasper County?
No. In Jasper County, Ice Storm has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $26.4M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Jasper County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Jasper County was 2008, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Jasper County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Jasper County, Missouri has an overall risk score of 85.6 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Low and community resilience is Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $58.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Jasper County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Jasper County is Ice Storm (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Tornado (Relatively High) and Heat Wave (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts ice storm here at an average of 1.1 times per year, drawn from 77 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Jasper County

Against a Missouri county mean of 25 declarations, Jasper County, MO records 22, or 11% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as high activity.

  • Major Disaster is the largest group (16 of 22) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. Missouri overview
  • Nationally the county exceeds 57% of recorded county totals, but its own Missouri benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.