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Maine · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Lincoln County, ME

30 FEMA disaster declarations (1970-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

30
FEMA declarations
23
Major disasters
32
NRI risk · Very Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Lincoln County. Its 30 FEMA declarations are 2% above the Maine county mean and exceed the count for 86% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 32%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 32%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
30
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
148
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Lincoln County compare?

Lincoln County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

30 Top 14% higher than 86% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Lincoln County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Maine county average

0/100100/100Maine avg57/10031.8/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Maine county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Lincoln County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $3.5M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Low), while Winter Weather carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Lincoln County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 148 paid claims, totaling $3.6M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $24.5K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Lincoln County's 30 federal records stand 2% above the Maine county mean of 29.4. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 31.8/100 for this county (Very Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $10.7M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Relatively Low) and community resilience (Very High) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Winter Weather stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 16 times per year here, based on 213 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 30 entries for Lincoln County, including 23 Major Disaster records, 2% above the Maine county mean. Across the 54-year span, that works out to 0.6 declarations a year. Flood leads the file with 9 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

74 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Lincoln County, ME · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
22/30

30 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.4x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
13/25

30 declarations (1.0x state county average of 29)

Major Disaster Share Very High
19/25

23 of 30 declarations are major disasters (77%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Lincoln County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Maine Avg

+2%

State avg: 29.4

vs. National Avg

+45%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.6

Over 54 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Lincoln County

Lincoln County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 48, Hurricane 48, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 28 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 28 8-hazard mean
Lincoln County NRI risk profile FIPS 23015 · displayed-hazard mean 28/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

30

High volume

Major Disaster share

77%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

32

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Lincoln County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 16 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively High an average of 1.3 times per year
Hurricane Relatively Moderate roughly once every 10 years
Coastal Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 8.5 times per year
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 15 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 696 years
Drought Relatively Low 3.2 modeled event-days per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Hail Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 1.6 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 94,189 years
Strong Wind Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 25 years
Heat Wave Very Low 1 modeled event-day per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 9
Flood 9
Hurricane 4
Biological 2
Snowstorm 2
Fishing Losses 2
Freezing 1
Coastal Storm 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Lincoln County's record, 30% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 23 76.7%

of all 30 declarations

Emergency - 7 23.3%

of all 30 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 1
2023 2
2020 2
2018 1
2011 1
2010 1
2009 3
2008 1
2007 2
2005 2
2003 1
2001 1
1998 1
1993 2
1992 1
Show 7 earlier declaration years
1991 1
1987 1
1980 1
1978 1
1974 1
1972 2
1970 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 30 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 30 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4764 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2024-03-20
3598 HURRICANE LEE EM Hurricane 2023-09-14
4719 SEVERE STORM AND FLOODING DR Flood 2023-07-06
4522 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-04
3444 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4354 SEVERE STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2018-01-02
4032 TROPICAL STORM IRENE DR Hurricane 2011-09-13
1891 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2010-03-25
1852 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2009-07-30
1815 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-01-09
3298 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2008-12-15
1755 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2008-05-09
1693 SEVERE STORMS AND INLAND AND COASTAL FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-04-25
1691 FLOODING DR Flood 2007-04-20
3256 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-19
1591 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, SNOW MELT, AND ICE JAMS DR Severe Storm 2005-06-29
1468 SEVERE WINTER COLD AND FROST DR Freezing 2003-05-14
3164 SNOW EM Snowstorm 2001-03-20
1198 SEVERE ICE STORMS, RAINS AND HIGH WINDS DR Severe Storm 1998-01-13
988 HEAVY RAIN, SNOWMELT, ICE JAMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-05-11
Show 10 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
3099 BLIZZARDS, SEVERE WINDS & SNOWFALL, COASTAL STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-15
921 COASTAL STORM DR Coastal Storm 1991-11-07
915 HURRICANE BOB & FLOODING DR Hurricane 1991-08-28
788 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1987-04-09
3082 RED TIDE-TOXIC ALGAE EM Fishing Losses 1980-09-20
550 HIGH WINDS, TIDAL SURGE & COASTAL FLOODING DR Flood 1978-02-17
410 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-01-18
356 TOXIC ALGAE IN COASTAL WATERS DR Fishing Losses 1972-09-28
326 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1972-03-07
284 SEVERE STORMS, ICE JAMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1970-02-27

Storm Events in Maine

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Lincoln County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 972 3 0 $821.0K
Heavy Snow 817 0 0 $0
Winter Storm 672 0 0 $0
Winter Weather 540 0 52 $0
High Wind 261 3 0 $40.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

148

Total Paid

$3.6M

Avg Per Claim

$24.5K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 31.8/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$10.7M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Winter Weather Relatively High
Ice Storm Relatively High
Hurricane Relatively Moderate
Coastal Flooding Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Landslide Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Drought Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Hail Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Winter Weather

Winter Weather in the model means the accumulation of snow and cold that disrupts rather than destroys: road closures, roof loads, burst pipes and lost heating. Its costs land heavily on transport and on households least able to absorb an interruption.

Worth noting for Lincoln County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Winter Weather carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Lincoln County's closest FEMA peer: Scott County, MO

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Lincoln County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Lincoln County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Lincoln County's NFIP claims file (148 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Lincoln County?
The most common disaster type in Lincoln County is Flood, with 9 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (9), Hurricane (4), Biological (2).
How does Lincoln County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Maine average?
FEMA lists 30 declaration records for Lincoln County. That is 2% above the Maine county mean of 29.4. Its count is also 45% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Lincoln County received?
Lincoln County has received 23 major disaster declarations, representing 77% of all 30 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Lincoln County filed?
Lincoln County has 148 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $3.6M in payments, with an average of $24.5K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Lincoln County?
No. In Lincoln County, Winter Weather has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $3.5M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Lincoln County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Lincoln County was 2009, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1970 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Lincoln County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Lincoln County, Maine has an overall risk score of 31.8 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Low and community resilience is Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $10.7M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Lincoln County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Lincoln County as of the latest release is Winter Weather (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Ice Storm (Relatively High) and Hurricane (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts winter weather here at an average of 16 times per year, drawn from 213 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Lincoln County

Lincoln County, ME has 30 federal declaration records, 2% more than the Maine county mean of 29; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 23 of 30 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Maine overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Maine mean and the totals for 86% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.