Nelson County, Virginia

County storm and disaster record · FIPS 51125 · population 14,738 · 471 sq mi

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 863 records for Nelson County, Virginia from 1950 through June 30, 2026, on 606 days; the most frequent are winter storm records (232 records). 458 of them are forecast-zone records, which the National Weather Service files once per zone: a county covered by several zones receives each one, so a single storm can add several records on the same day. The deadliest single record is the May 26, 2024 thunderstorm wind: 1 death and $4,704 in damage in 2025 dollars. FEMA has issued 28 declarations naming the county since 1969, 26 of them for natural hazards; the latest for a natural hazard was “Severe Winter Storm” on January 23, 2026.

The record, 1950 to 2026

Storm records filed for the county each year (2026 to June 30, 2026). Before 1996 NOAA recorded only tornadoes (from 1950), thunderstorm wind and hail (from 1955).

  • recorded, no damage figure
  • under $100,000
  • $100,000 or more
  • $1 million or more
  • $10 million or more, or a death
  • $100 million or more, or 10 deaths
  • a year's colour: its recorded damage or deaths
  • a year with a death
  • 1955: wind and hail recorded from 1955
  • 1996: all 48 event types from 1996
Storm records
863on 606 days, 1950 to June 30, 2026
Deaths recorded
129 injuries
Damage, 2025 dollars
$8.6Mas filed (scale steps before 1993)
Tornadoes
3strongest EF1
FEMA declarations
28latest 2026

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records through June 30, 2026 (file revision 20260918); damage converted to 2025 dollars with the BLS CPI-U. Search the record at NCEI. BLS consumer price index.

What hazards hit Nelson County most?

The most frequent records are winter storm records: 232 since 1996. 58% of its winter storm records since 1996 fell in January and February. The rank column places the county among Virginia's counties by days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land over each hazard's complete period.

Nelson County: records by hazard, 1950 to June 30, 2026
HazardRecordsDaysFirst, lastKilledInjuredDamageRank in state
Winter storms 232 183 1996-2026 0 21 $915K 21 of 96
Severe thunderstorm wind 203 131 1961-2026 1 1 $620K 58 of 96
Floods 129 73 1996-2025 0 0 $2.7M 27 of 96
Extreme cold 89 71 1997-2026 0 0 $919K 9 of 96
Fog, smoke and funnel clouds 48 43 2005-2021 0 0 – 19 of 96
Hail 46 35 1968-2025 0 0 $9K 61 of 96
High wind and dust storms 40 39 1996-2025 0 0 $1.0M 28 of 96
Heat 34 34 1996-2020 0 7 – 17 of 96
Heavy rain 16 16 1998-2003 0 0 – 51 of 96
Drought 9 9 1998-2007 0 0 $1.5M 46 of 96
Lightning 7 6 1999-2002 0 0 $577K 28 of 96
Wildfires 5 4 1996-1999 0 0 $192K 3 of 96
Tornadoes 3 3 1995-2019 0 0 $84K 80 of 96
Hurricanes and tropical storms 2 2 2008-2011 0 0 $1K 39 of 96

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database (county and forecast-zone records attributed to the county; a zone record shows its own totals on each county it covers). Days: dates with at least one record of the hazard in the county. Ranks: days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land (Census Bureau 2024 Gazetteer), since 1950 for tornadoes, 1955 for hail and thunderstorm wind, 1996 for the rest.

How many tornadoes has Nelson County had?

NOAA records 3 tornadoes in Nelson County from 1995 to 2019, the strongest rated EF1, with 0 deaths and 0 injuries recorded in the county. A tornado that crossed a county line is counted in each county it touched, with the length of its path inside the county.

Counted as whole tornadoes rather than county records, the Storm Prediction Center's database holds 3 tornadoes whose track touched Nelson County since 1950 (NOAA's county records number 3, the same count); along their whole tracks they killed 0 people.

Map of the strongest tornado tracks in Virginia.

Every tornado record filed for Nelson County (3)
Every tornado recorded in Nelson County, newest first
DatePlaceCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2019-04-19 Elma, Nelson County EF1 1.52 mi x 125 yd 0 0 –
2008-05-08 Shipman, Nelson County EF0 0.19 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $69K
1995-06-09 Nelson County F0 0.3 mi x 30 yd 0 0 $15K

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, tornado records by county (path length in the county, maximum width); ratings as published: F scale before February 1, 2007, EF scale after. Whole-track figures: NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database (1950-2025). SPC severe weather database.

When was the last damaging storm in Nelson County?

The most recent record with damage, injuries or deaths is the March 16, 2026 thunderstorm wind ($1,000 in damage in 2025 dollars).

The 12 most recent records kept for Nelson County
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2026-03-16 Thunderstorm WindWarminster, Nelson County 52 kt wind 0 0 $1K
2026-03-12 Winter WeatherAlbemarle County and 4 more · forecast zone Central Virginia Blue Ridge 0 0 –
2026-03-02 Winter WeatherAlbemarle County and 4 more · forecast zone Central Virginia Blue Ridge 0 0 –
2026-02-22 Winter StormAlbemarle County and 4 more · forecast zone Central Virginia Blue Ridge 0 0 –
2026-02-07 Cold/Wind ChillNelson County · forecast zone Nelson 0 0 –
2026-02-07 Extreme Cold/Wind ChillAlbemarle County and 4 more · forecast zone Central Virginia Blue Ridge 0 0 –
2026-02-01 Extreme Cold/Wind ChillAlbemarle County and 4 more · forecast zone Central Virginia Blue Ridge 0 0 –
2026-02-01 Cold/Wind ChillNelson County · forecast zone Nelson 0 0 –
2026-01-24 Winter StormAlbemarle County and 4 more · forecast zone Central Virginia Blue Ridge 0 0 –
2026-01-24 Winter StormNelson County · forecast zone Nelson 0 0 –
2026-01-23 Extreme Cold/Wind ChillNelson County · forecast zone Nelson 0 0 –
2026-01-23 Extreme Cold/Wind ChillAlbemarle County and 4 more · forecast zone Central Virginia Blue Ridge 0 0 –

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database; every record of 2025-2026 is listed, earlier ones when they caused deaths, injuries or $250,000 of damage (2025 dollars), and every tornado.

The deadliest and costliest records

Records with deaths or injuries in Nelson County, most deaths first
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2024-05-26 Thunderstorm WindWarminster, Nelson County Nelson County Sheriff confirmed one person died when thunderstorm winds downed a tree limb onto the vehicle they were sheltering in near Wingina. 52 kt wind 1 0 $5K
2019-11-17 Winter WeatherAlbemarle County and 3 more · forecast zone Central Virginia Blue Ridge At 4:37 AM EST this morning on I-64 at mile marker 100 (near summit of Afton Mountain/Blue Ridge; approximately 4 miles SE Waynesboro, VA), a tractor trailer lost control and overturned. A tour bus was unable to stop and impacted the truck. Several other minor accidents ensued. The culprit is likely black ice due to ... 0 21 $577K
1999-07-04 HeatNelson County · forecast zone Nelson High pressure sat off the Mid-Atlantic coast from the 4th through the 7th, acting like a heat pump drawing extremely warm and humid air into Northern Virginia. Temperatures on the 4th through early on the 7th were oppressively hot, and extremely humid conditions added to the misery. These conditions continued until a ... 0 7 –
2012-06-29 Thunderstorm WindLovingston, Nelson County A large tree was down. A firefighter was injured while cleaning up the tree debris. 61 kt wind 0 1 $1K
The costliest records in Nelson County since 1993, damage in 2025 dollars
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
1996-09-06 Flash FloodCountywide, Nelson County 0 0 $2.0M
1999-08-01 DroughtNelson County · forecast zone Nelson 0 0 $1.5M
2019-11-17 Winter WeatherAlbemarle County and 3 more · forecast zone Central Virginia Blue Ridge 0 21 $577K
2022-08-21 Flash FloodSchuyler, Nelson County 0 0 $504K
1996-09-06 High WindNelson County · forecast zone Nelson 0 0 $499K
1998-02-04 Ice StormNelson County · forecast zone Nelson 0 0 $290K
2008-05-08 TornadoShipman, Nelson County EF0 0.19 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $69K
1995-06-09 TornadoNelson County F0 0.3 mi x 30 yd 0 0 $15K

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database: deaths and injuries direct and indirect; damage is property plus crops as estimated by the National Weather Service, converted to 2025 dollars.

Is it getting more frequent?

Records per decade for Nelson County's most frequent hazards. Counts rose everywhere after 1996, when NOAA began recording every event type, so compare decades within a hazard's complete period only (the shaded cells come before it).

Nelson County: records per decade (the 2020s to June 30, 2026)
Hazard1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020-26
Winter storms––––173099 z86
Severe thunderstorm wind01038259868
Floods––––8194854
Extreme cold––––2144132
Fog, smoke and funnel clouds––––0102513
Hail010257247

Winter storms in the 2010s: 99 records against 30 in the decade before, 99 of them forecast-zone records. Cells marked z rose mostly through zone records. The local National Weather Service office files these once per forecast zone, so a change in how it draws its zones or splits a storm into records moves this count as much as the weather does; read it beside the Nelson County days with a record above.

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records per calendar decade; zone records from the CZ_TYPE field (Z).

What time of year?

58% of its winter storm records since 1996 fell in January and February. The two busiest months are in violet.

The values, month by month

Jan 111 · Feb 93 · Mar 58 · Apr 68 · May 60 · Jun 101 · Jul 103 · Aug 83 · Sep 51 · Oct 30 · Nov 31 · Dec 74 (records).

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records by the month they began.

Federal disaster declarations for Nelson County

FEMA's register lists 28 declarations that include Nelson County: 19 major disasters, 8 emergencies and one fire management assistance declaration. Most were for hurricane (8) and snowstorm (5).

Declarations including Nelson County, newest first
DeclaredNumberTypeTitle
2026-01-23EM-3631Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
2024-10-01DR-4831Tropical StormTropical Storm Helene
2022-03-11DR-4644Severe StormSevere Winter Storm and Snowstorm
2020-04-02DR-4512BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
2020-03-13EM-3448BiologicalCovid-19
2018-10-15DR-4401HurricaneHurricane Florence
2018-09-11EM-3403HurricaneHurricane Florence
2012-11-26DR-4092HurricaneHurricane Sandy
2012-10-29EM-3359HurricaneHurricane Sandy
2012-07-27DR-4072Severe StormSevere Storms and Straight-Line Winds
2010-04-27DR-1905SnowstormSevere Winter Storms and Snowstorms
2010-02-16DR-1874SnowstormSevere Winter Storm and Snowstorm
2005-09-12EM-3240HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation
2003-09-18DR-1491HurricaneHurricane Isabel
2001-11-20FM-2394FireVa - Heard Mountain Fire Complex - 11/20/2001
2000-02-28DR-1318Severe StormSevere Winter Storms
1996-09-06DR-1135HurricaneHurricane Fran and Associated Severe Storm Cond
1996-01-13DR-1086SnowstormBlizzard of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)
1994-04-11DR-1021Severe StormSevere Winter Ice Storm
1994-03-10DR-1014SnowstormSevere Ice Storms, Flooding
1993-03-25EM-3112SnowstormSevere Winter Storm
1992-05-19DR-944FloodSevere Storms & Flooding
1985-11-09DR-755FloodSevere Storms & Flooding
1977-07-23EM-3046DroughtDrought
1976-10-15EM-3018DroughtDrought
1972-10-10DR-359FloodSevere Storms & Flooding
1972-06-23DR-339FloodTropical Storm Agnes
1969-08-23DR-274HurricaneSevere Storms & Flooding

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2), declarations through October 2, 2026; one declaration is counted once however many areas it names. OpenFEMA dataset page.

How many floods has Nelson County had?

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 129 flood or flash flood records for Nelson County from 1996 to 2025, on 73 days, with 0 deaths. By flood insurance claims since 1978 (OpenFEMA, as of September 8, 2026), Nelson County ranks 1887th of 2,942 U.S. counties.

Named storms on Nelson County's flood and tropical record
StormBeganRecordsDeaths in the county
Hurricane Fran1996-09-0610

The National Flood Insurance Program has paid $238,000 on 31 claims filed in Nelson County; the most in one year was 10 in 1996. Claims count insured losses only: uninsured flood damage is not in this file.

The values, year by year

1979: 2 · 1985: 3 · 1987: 1 · 1992: 1 · 1994: 1 · 1996: 10 · 2003: 1 · 2005: 2 · 2006: 4 · 2010: 1 · 2011: 3 · 2024: 2; the other years: 0.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims, as of September 8, 2026; claims by year of loss, payments in the dollars of the year paid. OpenFEMA dataset page.

FEMA's modeled risk for Nelson County

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Nelson County Very Low overall, with an expected annual loss of $8.9 million. These are FEMA's model estimates of future loss from 18 hazards, not a count of what happened; they can differ from the record above.

National Risk Index ratings for Nelson County (December 2025 release), by FEMA's rating, then score
HazardRisk ratingExpected annual lossModeled frequency
DroughtRelatively Moderate$490K5.5 modeled event-days a year
LandslideRelatively Low$8K1.3 a year (modeled)
HurricaneRelatively Low$390Konce in about 14 years (modeled)
Riverine FloodingRelatively Low$6.9M2.3 a year (modeled)
LightningRelatively Low$111K42 a year (modeled)
Strong WindRelatively Low$246K2.9 a year (modeled)
Winter WeatherRelatively Low$19K9.9 a year (modeled)
AvalancheVery Low$2Konce in about 100 years (modeled)

Source: FEMA National Risk Index, county table, December 2025 release. FEMA's National Risk Index map.

Counties that share a border with Nelson County

  1. Albemarle County 1,357
  2. Augusta County 1,101
  3. Nelson County 863
  4. Rockbridge County 560
  5. Buckingham County 527
  6. Amherst County 502
  7. Appomattox County 377

Source: U.S. Census Bureau county adjacency file; NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records since 1950. The Census Bureau's adjacency file.

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