Nelson County, Virginia
County storm and disaster record · FIPS 51125 · population 14,738 · 471 sq mi
NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 863 records for Nelson County, Virginia from 1950 through June 30, 2026, on 606 days; the most frequent are winter storm records (232 records). 458 of them are forecast-zone records, which the National Weather Service files once per zone: a county covered by several zones receives each one, so a single storm can add several records on the same day. The deadliest single record is the May 26, 2024 thunderstorm wind: 1 death and $4,704 in damage in 2025 dollars. FEMA has issued 28 declarations naming the county since 1969, 26 of them for natural hazards; the latest for a natural hazard was “Severe Winter Storm” on January 23, 2026.
The record, 1950 to 2026
Storm records filed for the county each year (2026 to June 30, 2026). Before 1996 NOAA recorded only tornadoes (from 1950), thunderstorm wind and hail (from 1955).
- recorded, no damage figure
- under $100,000
- $100,000 or more
- $1 million or more
- $10 million or more, or a death
- $100 million or more, or 10 deaths
- a year's colour: its recorded damage or deaths
- a year with a death
- 1955: wind and hail recorded from 1955
- 1996: all 48 event types from 1996
- Storm records
- 863on 606 days, 1950 to June 30, 2026
- Deaths recorded
- 129 injuries
- Damage, 2025 dollars
- $8.6Mas filed (scale steps before 1993)
- Tornadoes
- 3strongest EF1
- FEMA declarations
- 28latest 2026
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records through June 30, 2026 (file revision 20260918); damage converted to 2025 dollars with the BLS CPI-U. Search the record at NCEI. BLS consumer price index.
What hazards hit Nelson County most?
The most frequent records are winter storm records: 232 since 1996. 58% of its winter storm records since 1996 fell in January and February. The rank column places the county among Virginia's counties by days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land over each hazard's complete period.
| Hazard | Records | Days | First, last | Killed | Injured | Damage | Rank in state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter storms | 232 | 183 | 1996-2026 | 0 | 21 | $915K | 21 of 96 |
| Severe thunderstorm wind | 203 | 131 | 1961-2026 | 1 | 1 | $620K | 58 of 96 |
| Floods | 129 | 73 | 1996-2025 | 0 | 0 | $2.7M | 27 of 96 |
| Extreme cold | 89 | 71 | 1997-2026 | 0 | 0 | $919K | 9 of 96 |
| Fog, smoke and funnel clouds | 48 | 43 | 2005-2021 | 0 | 0 | – | 19 of 96 |
| Hail | 46 | 35 | 1968-2025 | 0 | 0 | $9K | 61 of 96 |
| High wind and dust storms | 40 | 39 | 1996-2025 | 0 | 0 | $1.0M | 28 of 96 |
| Heat | 34 | 34 | 1996-2020 | 0 | 7 | – | 17 of 96 |
| Heavy rain | 16 | 16 | 1998-2003 | 0 | 0 | – | 51 of 96 |
| Drought | 9 | 9 | 1998-2007 | 0 | 0 | $1.5M | 46 of 96 |
| Lightning | 7 | 6 | 1999-2002 | 0 | 0 | $577K | 28 of 96 |
| Wildfires | 5 | 4 | 1996-1999 | 0 | 0 | $192K | 3 of 96 |
| Tornadoes | 3 | 3 | 1995-2019 | 0 | 0 | $84K | 80 of 96 |
| Hurricanes and tropical storms | 2 | 2 | 2008-2011 | 0 | 0 | $1K | 39 of 96 |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database (county and forecast-zone records attributed to the county; a zone record shows its own totals on each county it covers). Days: dates with at least one record of the hazard in the county. Ranks: days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land (Census Bureau 2024 Gazetteer), since 1950 for tornadoes, 1955 for hail and thunderstorm wind, 1996 for the rest.
How many tornadoes has Nelson County had?
NOAA records 3 tornadoes in Nelson County from 1995 to 2019, the strongest rated EF1, with 0 deaths and 0 injuries recorded in the county. A tornado that crossed a county line is counted in each county it touched, with the length of its path inside the county.
Counted as whole tornadoes rather than county records, the Storm Prediction Center's database holds 3 tornadoes whose track touched Nelson County since 1950 (NOAA's county records number 3, the same count); along their whole tracks they killed 0 people.
Map of the strongest tornado tracks in Virginia.
Every tornado record filed for Nelson County (3)
| Date | Place | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-04-19 | Elma, Nelson County | EF1 1.52 mi x 125 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2008-05-08 | Shipman, Nelson County | EF0 0.19 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 0 | $69K |
| 1995-06-09 | Nelson County | F0 0.3 mi x 30 yd | 0 | 0 | $15K |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, tornado records by county (path length in the county, maximum width); ratings as published: F scale before February 1, 2007, EF scale after. Whole-track figures: NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database (1950-2025). SPC severe weather database.
When was the last damaging storm in Nelson County?
The most recent record with damage, injuries or deaths is the March 16, 2026 thunderstorm wind ($1,000 in damage in 2025 dollars).
| Date | Record | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | Thunderstorm WindWarminster, Nelson County | 52 kt wind | 0 | 0 | $1K |
| 2026-03-12 | Winter WeatherAlbemarle County and 4 more · forecast zone Central Virginia Blue Ridge | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-03-02 | Winter WeatherAlbemarle County and 4 more · forecast zone Central Virginia Blue Ridge | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-02-22 | Winter StormAlbemarle County and 4 more · forecast zone Central Virginia Blue Ridge | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-02-07 | Cold/Wind ChillNelson County · forecast zone Nelson | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-02-07 | Extreme Cold/Wind ChillAlbemarle County and 4 more · forecast zone Central Virginia Blue Ridge | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-02-01 | Extreme Cold/Wind ChillAlbemarle County and 4 more · forecast zone Central Virginia Blue Ridge | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-02-01 | Cold/Wind ChillNelson County · forecast zone Nelson | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-01-24 | Winter StormAlbemarle County and 4 more · forecast zone Central Virginia Blue Ridge | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-01-24 | Winter StormNelson County · forecast zone Nelson | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-01-23 | Extreme Cold/Wind ChillNelson County · forecast zone Nelson | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-01-23 | Extreme Cold/Wind ChillAlbemarle County and 4 more · forecast zone Central Virginia Blue Ridge | 0 | 0 | – |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database; every record of 2025-2026 is listed, earlier ones when they caused deaths, injuries or $250,000 of damage (2025 dollars), and every tornado.
The deadliest and costliest records
| Date | Record | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-26 | Thunderstorm WindWarminster, Nelson County Nelson County Sheriff confirmed one person died when thunderstorm winds downed a tree limb onto the vehicle they were sheltering in near Wingina. | 52 kt wind | 1 | 0 | $5K |
| 2019-11-17 | Winter WeatherAlbemarle County and 3 more · forecast zone Central Virginia Blue Ridge At 4:37 AM EST this morning on I-64 at mile marker 100 (near summit of Afton Mountain/Blue Ridge; approximately 4 miles SE Waynesboro, VA), a tractor trailer lost control and overturned. A tour bus was unable to stop and impacted the truck. Several other minor accidents ensued. The culprit is likely black ice due to ... | 0 | 21 | $577K | |
| 1999-07-04 | HeatNelson County · forecast zone Nelson High pressure sat off the Mid-Atlantic coast from the 4th through the 7th, acting like a heat pump drawing extremely warm and humid air into Northern Virginia. Temperatures on the 4th through early on the 7th were oppressively hot, and extremely humid conditions added to the misery. These conditions continued until a ... | 0 | 7 | – | |
| 2012-06-29 | Thunderstorm WindLovingston, Nelson County A large tree was down. A firefighter was injured while cleaning up the tree debris. | 61 kt wind | 0 | 1 | $1K |
| Date | Record | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996-09-06 | Flash FloodCountywide, Nelson County | 0 | 0 | $2.0M | |
| 1999-08-01 | DroughtNelson County · forecast zone Nelson | 0 | 0 | $1.5M | |
| 2019-11-17 | Winter WeatherAlbemarle County and 3 more · forecast zone Central Virginia Blue Ridge | 0 | 21 | $577K | |
| 2022-08-21 | Flash FloodSchuyler, Nelson County | 0 | 0 | $504K | |
| 1996-09-06 | High WindNelson County · forecast zone Nelson | 0 | 0 | $499K | |
| 1998-02-04 | Ice StormNelson County · forecast zone Nelson | 0 | 0 | $290K | |
| 2008-05-08 | TornadoShipman, Nelson County | EF0 0.19 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 0 | $69K |
| 1995-06-09 | TornadoNelson County | F0 0.3 mi x 30 yd | 0 | 0 | $15K |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database: deaths and injuries direct and indirect; damage is property plus crops as estimated by the National Weather Service, converted to 2025 dollars.
Is it getting more frequent?
Records per decade for Nelson County's most frequent hazards. Counts rose everywhere after 1996, when NOAA began recording every event type, so compare decades within a hazard's complete period only (the shaded cells come before it).
| Hazard | 1950s | 1960s | 1970s | 1980s | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | 2020-26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter storms | – | – | – | – | 17 | 30 | 99 z | 86 |
| Severe thunderstorm wind | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 98 | 68 |
| Floods | – | – | – | – | 8 | 19 | 48 | 54 |
| Extreme cold | – | – | – | – | 2 | 14 | 41 | 32 |
| Fog, smoke and funnel clouds | – | – | – | – | 0 | 10 | 25 | 13 |
| Hail | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 7 |
Winter storms in the 2010s: 99 records against 30 in the decade before, 99 of them forecast-zone records. Cells marked z rose mostly through zone records. The local National Weather Service office files these once per forecast zone, so a change in how it draws its zones or splits a storm into records moves this count as much as the weather does; read it beside the Nelson County days with a record above.
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records per calendar decade; zone records from the CZ_TYPE field (Z).
What time of year?
58% of its winter storm records since 1996 fell in January and February. The two busiest months are in violet.
The values, month by month
Jan 111 · Feb 93 · Mar 58 · Apr 68 · May 60 · Jun 101 · Jul 103 · Aug 83 · Sep 51 · Oct 30 · Nov 31 · Dec 74 (records).
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records by the month they began.
Federal disaster declarations for Nelson County
FEMA's register lists 28 declarations that include Nelson County: 19 major disasters, 8 emergencies and one fire management assistance declaration. Most were for hurricane (8) and snowstorm (5).
| Declared | Number | Type | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | EM-3631 | Winter Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2024-10-01 | DR-4831 | Tropical Storm | Tropical Storm Helene |
| 2022-03-11 | DR-4644 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm |
| 2020-04-02 | DR-4512 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020-03-13 | EM-3448 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2018-10-15 | DR-4401 | Hurricane | Hurricane Florence |
| 2018-09-11 | EM-3403 | Hurricane | Hurricane Florence |
| 2012-11-26 | DR-4092 | Hurricane | Hurricane Sandy |
| 2012-10-29 | EM-3359 | Hurricane | Hurricane Sandy |
| 2012-07-27 | DR-4072 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms and Straight-Line Winds |
| 2010-04-27 | DR-1905 | Snowstorm | Severe Winter Storms and Snowstorms |
| 2010-02-16 | DR-1874 | Snowstorm | Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm |
| 2005-09-12 | EM-3240 | Hurricane | Hurricane Katrina Evacuation |
| 2003-09-18 | DR-1491 | Hurricane | Hurricane Isabel |
| 2001-11-20 | FM-2394 | Fire | Va - Heard Mountain Fire Complex - 11/20/2001 |
| 2000-02-28 | DR-1318 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| 1996-09-06 | DR-1135 | Hurricane | Hurricane Fran and Associated Severe Storm Cond |
| 1996-01-13 | DR-1086 | Snowstorm | Blizzard of 96 (Severe Snow Storm) |
| 1994-04-11 | DR-1021 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Ice Storm |
| 1994-03-10 | DR-1014 | Snowstorm | Severe Ice Storms, Flooding |
| 1993-03-25 | EM-3112 | Snowstorm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 1992-05-19 | DR-944 | Flood | Severe Storms & Flooding |
| 1985-11-09 | DR-755 | Flood | Severe Storms & Flooding |
| 1977-07-23 | EM-3046 | Drought | Drought |
| 1976-10-15 | EM-3018 | Drought | Drought |
| 1972-10-10 | DR-359 | Flood | Severe Storms & Flooding |
| 1972-06-23 | DR-339 | Flood | Tropical Storm Agnes |
| 1969-08-23 | DR-274 | Hurricane | Severe Storms & Flooding |
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2), declarations through October 2, 2026; one declaration is counted once however many areas it names. OpenFEMA dataset page.
How many floods has Nelson County had?
NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 129 flood or flash flood records for Nelson County from 1996 to 2025, on 73 days, with 0 deaths. By flood insurance claims since 1978 (OpenFEMA, as of September 8, 2026), Nelson County ranks 1887th of 2,942 U.S. counties.
| Storm | Began | Records | Deaths in the county |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hurricane Fran | 1996-09-06 | 1 | 0 |
The National Flood Insurance Program has paid $238,000 on 31 claims filed in Nelson County; the most in one year was 10 in 1996. Claims count insured losses only: uninsured flood damage is not in this file.
The values, year by year
1979: 2 · 1985: 3 · 1987: 1 · 1992: 1 · 1994: 1 · 1996: 10 · 2003: 1 · 2005: 2 · 2006: 4 · 2010: 1 · 2011: 3 · 2024: 2; the other years: 0.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims, as of September 8, 2026; claims by year of loss, payments in the dollars of the year paid. OpenFEMA dataset page.
FEMA's modeled risk for Nelson County
FEMA's National Risk Index rates Nelson County Very Low overall, with an expected annual loss of $8.9 million. These are FEMA's model estimates of future loss from 18 hazards, not a count of what happened; they can differ from the record above.
| Hazard | Risk rating | Expected annual loss | Modeled frequency |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drought | Relatively Moderate | $490K | 5.5 modeled event-days a year |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | $8K | 1.3 a year (modeled) |
| Hurricane | Relatively Low | $390K | once in about 14 years (modeled) |
| Riverine Flooding | Relatively Low | $6.9M | 2.3 a year (modeled) |
| Lightning | Relatively Low | $111K | 42 a year (modeled) |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Low | $246K | 2.9 a year (modeled) |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Low | $19K | 9.9 a year (modeled) |
| Avalanche | Very Low | $2K | once in about 100 years (modeled) |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, county table, December 2025 release. FEMA's National Risk Index map.
Counties that share a border with Nelson County
Source: U.S. Census Bureau county adjacency file; NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records since 1950. The Census Bureau's adjacency file.
Next
- Tornadoes in VirginiaEvery Virginia tornado since 1950 and the counties with the most per square mile
- Winter storms in VirginiaThe state's winter storm records, by county, year and month
- The Virginia recordEvery hazard in the state, its deadliest events and its federal declarations
- FEMA's risk rating for each hazard in Nelson CountyThe hazard risk calculator: 18 hazards beside the county's record
- Download Nelson County's FEMA declarations (CSV)28 rows: every declaration that named the county, for your own analysis