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Virginia · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Augusta County, VA

24 FEMA disaster declarations (1969-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

24
FEMA declarations
16
Major disasters
69
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Augusta County. Its 24 FEMA declarations are 18% above the Virginia county mean and exceed the count for 66% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 31%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 31%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
24
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
183
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 51015 · Augusta County 24 declarations · rank 1103/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 24
  • MAJOR-MID 67%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,103
  • PHOTO-FINISH Eddy
  • NRI-LOW 69
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +18%

Nearest declaration peer: Eddy, ND (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Virginia state profile

Augusta County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Augusta County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Augusta County carries 24 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1103 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Augusta County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Augusta County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Augusta County

24 Top 34% higher than 66% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Augusta County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Virginia avg33/10068.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Virginia county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Augusta County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $18.0M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Augusta County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 183 paid claims, totaling $3.0M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $16.4K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Augusta County's 24 federal records stand 18% above the Virginia county mean of 20.4. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 68.6/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $25.3M in annualized losses), and a Relatively Moderate social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively High community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Landslide carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.6 times per year here.

67 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Augusta County, VA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
17/30

24 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.2x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
15/25

24 declarations (1.2x state county average of 20)

Major Disaster Share High
17/25

16 of 24 declarations are major disasters (67%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Augusta County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Augusta County

Augusta County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 48, Hurricane 25, Tornado 25, Wildfire 25, Drought 48, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 34 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 34 8-hazard mean
Augusta County NRI risk profile FIPS 51015 · displayed-hazard mean 34/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

24

Above median

Major Disaster share

67%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

69

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Augusta County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Relatively Moderate an average of 1.6 times per year
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 2.1 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 2.6 times per year
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 20 years
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 2.8 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 13 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 387 years
Drought Relatively Moderate 4.5 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 41 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 656 years
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 1.7 modeled event-days per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 2.2 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 5 years
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 6
Flood 5
Severe Storm 4
Snowstorm 4
Biological 2
Drought 2
Winter Storm 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Augusta County's federal record, 25% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 16 66.7%

of all 24 declarations

Emergency - 8 33.3%

of all 24 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2020 2
2018 1
2013 1
2012 1
2010 2
2005 1
2003 1
2000 1
1996 3
1995 1
1994 1
1993 1
1992 1
1986 1
Show 4 earlier declaration years
1977 2
1973 1
1972 1
1969 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 24 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 24 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3631 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-23
4512 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-02
3448 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3403 HURRICANE FLORENCE EM Hurricane 2018-09-11
3359 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-29
4072 SEVERE STORMS AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Severe Storm 2012-07-27
1905 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND SNOWSTORMS DR Snowstorm 2010-04-27
1874 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Snowstorm 2010-02-16
3240 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-12
1491 HURRICANE ISABEL DR Hurricane 2003-09-18
1318 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2000-02-28
1135 HURRICANE FRAN AND ASSOCIATED SEVERE STORM COND DR Hurricane 1996-09-06
1098 FLOODING, HIGH WINDS, AND WIND DRIVEN RAIN DR Flood 1996-01-27
1086 BLIZZARD OF 96 (SEVERE SNOW STORM) DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
1059 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1995-07-01
1021 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Storm 1994-04-11
3112 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-25
944 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1992-05-19
755 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1985-11-09
3046 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-07-23
Show 4 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
3018 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-10-15
359 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1972-10-10
339 TROPICAL STORM AGNES DR Flood 1972-06-23
274 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Hurricane 1969-08-23

Storm Events in Virginia

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Augusta County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 8,940 13 31 $123.1M
Flood 2,300 4 0 $85.1M
Winter Weather 2,049 6 32 $902.0K
Flash Flood 1,942 13 4 $244.2M
Heavy Rain 1,566 0 0 $2.5M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

183

Total Paid

$3.0M

Avg Per Claim

$16.4K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 68.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$25.3M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Avalanche Very Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for Augusta County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Augusta County's closest FEMA peer: Summers County, WV

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Augusta County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Augusta County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Augusta County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Augusta County's NFIP claims file (183 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Augusta County?
The most common disaster type in Augusta County is Hurricane, with 6 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (5), Severe Storm (4), Snowstorm (4).
How does Augusta County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Virginia average?
FEMA lists 24 declaration records for Augusta County. That is 18% above the Virginia county mean of 20.4. Its count is also 16% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Augusta County received?
Augusta County has received 16 major disaster declarations, representing 67% of all 24 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Augusta County filed?
Augusta County has 183 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $3.0M in payments, with an average of $16.4K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Augusta County?
No. In Augusta County, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $18.0M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Augusta County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Augusta County was 1996, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1969 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Augusta County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Augusta County, Virginia has an overall risk score of 68.6 out of 100 (Relatively Low). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively Moderate, while community resilience comes in at Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $25.3M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Augusta County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Augusta County is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Hail (Relatively Moderate) and Riverine Flooding (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at an average of 1.6 times per year. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Augusta County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Virginia profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events