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Virginia · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Rockingham County, VA

21 FEMA disaster declarations (1972-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

21
FEMA declarations
12
Major disasters
75
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Rockingham County. Its 21 FEMA declarations are 3% above the Virginia county mean and exceed the count for 52% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 25%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 25%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
21
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
282
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 51165 · Rockingham County 21 declarations · rank 1441/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 21
  • MAJOR-MID 57%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,441
  • PHOTO-FINISH Montgomery
  • NRI-LOW 75
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +3%

Nearest declaration peer: Montgomery, IN (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Virginia state profile

Rockingham County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Rockingham County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Rockingham County carries 21 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1441 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Rockingham County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Rockingham County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Rockingham County

21 Top 48% higher than 52% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Rockingham County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Virginia avg33/10075/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Virginia county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Rockingham County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $25.7M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Rockingham County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 282 paid claims, totaling $4.5M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $15.8K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Rockingham County's 21 federal records stand 3% above the Virginia county mean of 20.4. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 75.0/100 (Relatively Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Low (roughly $34.9M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Low and community resilience Relatively Moderate, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Even the county's top-rated hazard, Landslide, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.3 times per year here.

62 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Rockingham County, VA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
15/30

21 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
13/25

21 declarations (1.0x state county average of 20)

Major Disaster Share High
14/25

12 of 21 declarations are major disasters (57%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Rockingham County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Rockingham County

Rockingham County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 48, Hurricane 48, Tornado 25, Wildfire 25, Drought 48, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 37 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 37 8-hazard mean
Rockingham County NRI risk profile FIPS 51165 · displayed-hazard mean 37/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

21

Above median

Major Disaster share

57%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

75

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Rockingham County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Relatively Low an average of 1.3 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 2.4 times per year
Hurricane Relatively Moderate roughly once every 20 years
Drought Relatively Moderate 3.5 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 39 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 2.1 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 3.1 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 668 years
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 453 years
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 13 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 2.1 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 2.2 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 5 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 5
Flood 5
Severe Storm 3
Biological 2
Snowstorm 2
Drought 2
Winter Storm 1
Fire 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Rockingham County's federal record, 24% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 12 57.1%

of all 21 declarations

Emergency - 8 38.1%

of all 21 declarations

Fire Management - 1 4.8%

of all 21 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 1
2020 2
2018 1
2013 1
2012 1
2011 1
2005 1
2003 1
2000 1
1996 3
1993 1
1992 1
1986 1
1977 2
Show 2 earlier declaration years
1973 1
1972 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 21 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 21 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3631 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-23
4863 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2025-04-04
4512 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-02
3448 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3403 HURRICANE FLORENCE EM Hurricane 2018-09-11
3359 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-29
4072 SEVERE STORMS AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Severe Storm 2012-07-27
2861 COFFMAN FIRE FM Fire 2011-02-20
3240 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-12
1491 HURRICANE ISABEL DR Hurricane 2003-09-18
1318 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2000-02-28
1135 HURRICANE FRAN AND ASSOCIATED SEVERE STORM COND DR Hurricane 1996-09-06
1098 FLOODING, HIGH WINDS, AND WIND DRIVEN RAIN DR Flood 1996-01-27
1086 BLIZZARD OF 96 (SEVERE SNOW STORM) DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
3112 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-25
944 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1992-05-19
755 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1985-11-09
3046 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-07-23
3018 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-10-15
359 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1972-10-10
Show 1 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
339 TROPICAL STORM AGNES DR Flood 1972-06-23

Storm Events in Virginia

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Rockingham County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 8,940 13 31 $123.1M
Flood 2,300 4 0 $85.1M
Winter Weather 2,049 6 32 $902.0K
Flash Flood 1,942 13 4 $244.2M
Heavy Rain 1,566 0 0 $2.5M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

282

Total Paid

$4.5M

Avg Per Claim

$15.8K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 75.0/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$34.9M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Avalanche Very Low
Wildfire Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for Rockingham County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Low), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Rockingham County's closest FEMA peer: Sebastian County, AR

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Rockingham County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Rockingham County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Rockingham County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Rockingham County's NFIP claims file (282 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Rockingham County?
The most common disaster type in Rockingham County is Hurricane, with 5 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (5), Severe Storm (3), Biological (2).
How does Rockingham County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Virginia average?
FEMA lists 21 declaration records for Rockingham County. That is 3% above the Virginia county mean of 20.4. Its count is also 1% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Rockingham County received?
Rockingham County has received 12 major disaster declarations, representing 57% of all 21 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Rockingham County filed?
Rockingham County has 282 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $4.5M in payments, with an average of $15.8K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Rockingham County?
No. In Rockingham County, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $25.7M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Rockingham County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Rockingham County was 1996, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1972 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Rockingham County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Rockingham County, Virginia has an overall risk score of 75.0 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Low; on community resilience, Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $34.9M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Rockingham County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Rockingham County as of the latest release is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Riverine Flooding (Relatively Moderate) and Hurricane (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at an average of 1.3 times per year. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Rockingham County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Virginia profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events