Page County, Virginia
County storm and disaster record · FIPS 51139 · population 23,698 · 310 sq mi
NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 917 records for Page County, Virginia from 1950 through June 30, 2026, on 657 days; the most frequent are winter storm records (305 records). 623 of them are forecast-zone records, which the National Weather Service files once per zone: a county covered by several zones receives each one, so a single storm can add several records on the same day. The most damaging was the September 6, 1996 flood ($13.2 million in 2025 dollars). FEMA has issued 24 declarations naming the county since 1972, 22 of them for natural hazards; the latest for a natural hazard was “Severe Winter Storm” on January 23, 2026.
The record, 1950 to 2026
Storm records filed for the county each year (2026 to June 30, 2026). Before 1996 NOAA recorded only tornadoes (from 1950), thunderstorm wind and hail (from 1955).
- recorded, no damage figure
- under $100,000
- $100,000 or more
- $1 million or more
- $10 million or more, or a death
- $100 million or more, or 10 deaths
- a year's colour: its recorded damage or deaths
- a year with a death
- 1955: wind and hail recorded from 1955
- 1996: all 48 event types from 1996
- Storm records
- 917on 657 days, 1950 to June 30, 2026
- Deaths recorded
- 00 injuries
- Damage, 2025 dollars
- $49Mas filed (scale steps before 1993)
- Tornadoes
- 3strongest EF1
- FEMA declarations
- 24latest 2026
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records through June 30, 2026 (file revision 20260918); damage converted to 2025 dollars with the BLS CPI-U. Search the record at NCEI. BLS consumer price index.
What hazards hit Page County most?
The most frequent records are winter storm records: 305 since 1996. 56% of its winter storm records since 1996 fell in January and February. The rank column places the county among Virginia's counties by days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land over each hazard's complete period.
| Hazard | Records | Days | First, last | Killed | Injured | Damage | Rank in state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter storms | 305 | 232 | 1996-2026 | 0 | 0 | $382K | 5 of 96 |
| Severe thunderstorm wind | 167 | 96 | 1969-2026 | 0 | 0 | $2.9M | 46 of 96 |
| Fog, smoke and funnel clouds | 124 | 109 | 2006-2021 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 of 96 |
| Extreme cold | 106 | 80 | 1997-2026 | 0 | 0 | $919K | 3 of 96 |
| Floods | 71 | 50 | 1996-2025 | 0 | 0 | $27M | 25 of 96 |
| Hail | 42 | 28 | 1996-2025 | 0 | 0 | $282K | 46 of 96 |
| Heat | 36 | 36 | 1996-2025 | 0 | 0 | – | 12 of 96 |
| High wind and dust storms | 33 | 30 | 1996-2026 | 0 | 0 | $4.6M | 21 of 96 |
| Heavy rain | 15 | 15 | 1998-2005 | 0 | 0 | – | 43 of 96 |
| Drought | 8 | 8 | 1998-1999 | 0 | 0 | $11M | 40 of 96 |
| Wildfires | 4 | 4 | 1999-2024 | 0 | 0 | $526K | 1 of 96 |
| Tornadoes | 3 | 3 | 1993-2025 | 0 | 0 | $1.5M | 69 of 96 |
| Lightning | 2 | 2 | 2000-2001 | 0 | 0 | $5K | 53 of 96 |
| Hurricanes and tropical storms | 1 | 1 | 2011-2011 | 0 | 0 | – | 54 of 96 |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database (county and forecast-zone records attributed to the county; a zone record shows its own totals on each county it covers). Days: dates with at least one record of the hazard in the county. Ranks: days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land (Census Bureau 2024 Gazetteer), since 1950 for tornadoes, 1955 for hail and thunderstorm wind, 1996 for the rest.
How many tornadoes has Page County had?
NOAA records 3 tornadoes in Page County from 1993 to 2025, the strongest rated EF1, with 0 deaths and 0 injuries recorded in the county. A tornado that crossed a county line is counted in each county it touched, with the length of its path inside the county.
Counted as whole tornadoes rather than county records, the Storm Prediction Center's database holds 4 tornadoes whose track touched Page County since 1950 (NOAA's county records number 3: they file a crossing tornado once per county segment, and the two databases differ on some tracks); along their whole tracks they killed 0 people.
Map of the strongest tornado tracks in Virginia.
Every tornado record filed for Page County (3)
| Date | Place | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-30 | Kimball, Page County | EF0 0.83 mi x 75 yd | 0 | 0 | $50K |
| 2009-06-03 | Stanley, Page County | EF1 1.67 mi x 600 yd | 0 | 0 | $413K |
| 1993-09-27 | Stanley, Page County | F1 0.5 mi x 100 yd | 0 | 0 | $1.0M |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, tornado records by county (path length in the county, maximum width); ratings as published: F scale before February 1, 2007, EF scale after. Whole-track figures: NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database (1950-2025). SPC severe weather database.
When was the last damaging storm in Page County?
The most recent record with damage, injuries or deaths is the June 22, 2026 thunderstorm wind ($1.0 million in damage in 2025 dollars).
A severe thunderstorm on the afternoon of Monday, June 22nd produced a downburst of damaging wind that created a path of damage nearly seven miles long through central Page County Virginia, about 2 miles south of Luray. Along that path that passed through the towns of Leaksville and Stony Man, there were many trees snapped and uprooted. In addition, outbuilding, shed, siding and shingle damage was evident. Peak winds of 85 mph were estimated around Mill Creek Rd, Rodeo Drive, and Mt. Zion Road between E Branch Rd and Redman Store Rd where there was substantial structural damage. A home roof was partially lifted on Rodeo Dr. There was also roof damage to two homes on Mt. Zion Drive, where about half of the windward side of each roof was lifted off. …
National Weather Service event narrative, NOAA Storm Events Database (search the full record, event 1336141)
| Date | Record | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Thunderstorm WindLeaksville, Page County | 74 kt wind | 0 | 0 | $1.0M |
| 2026-06-11 | Thunderstorm WindRileyville, Page County | 56 kt wind | 0 | 0 | $5K |
| 2026-06-11 | Thunderstorm WindBig Spgs, Page County | 52 kt wind | 0 | 0 | $2K |
| 2026-06-11 | Thunderstorm WindLuray, Page County | 61 kt wind | 0 | 0 | $25K |
| 2026-06-11 | Thunderstorm WindFairview, Page County | 52 kt wind | 0 | 0 | $1K |
| 2026-06-11 | Thunderstorm WindRileyville, Page County | 56 kt wind | 0 | 0 | $10K |
| 2026-03-12 | Winter WeatherGreene County and 5 more · forecast zone Northern Virginia Blue Ridge | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-03-02 | Winter WeatherGreene County and 5 more · forecast zone Northern Virginia Blue Ridge | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-03-02 | Winter WeatherGreene County and 5 more · forecast zone Northern Virginia Blue Ridge | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-03-02 | Winter WeatherPage County · forecast zone Page | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-02-22 | Winter WeatherPage County · forecast zone Page | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-02-22 | Winter StormGreene County and 5 more · forecast zone Northern Virginia Blue Ridge | 0 | 0 | – |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database; every record of 2025-2026 is listed, earlier ones when they caused deaths, injuries or $250,000 of damage (2025 dollars), and every tornado.
The deadliest and costliest records
| Date | Record | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996-09-06 | FloodPage County · forecast zone Page | 0 | 0 | $13M | |
| 1999-07-01 | DroughtPage County · forecast zone Page | 0 | 0 | $11M | |
| 1996-09-06 | Flash FloodCountywide, Page County | 0 | 0 | $3.6M | |
| 2003-09-18 | FloodPage County · forecast zone Page | 0 | 0 | $3.2M | |
| 2003-09-18 | Flash FloodCountywide, Page County | 0 | 0 | $3.2M | |
| 1996-01-19 | FloodPage County · forecast zone Page | 0 | 0 | $2.8M | |
| 1996-01-19 | Flash FloodAll, Page County | 0 | 0 | $1.3M | |
| 2026-06-22 | Thunderstorm WindLeaksville, Page County | 74 kt wind | 0 | 0 | $1.0M |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database: deaths and injuries direct and indirect; damage is property plus crops as estimated by the National Weather Service, converted to 2025 dollars.
Is it getting more frequent?
Records per decade for Page County's most frequent hazards. Counts rose everywhere after 1996, when NOAA began recording every event type, so compare decades within a hazard's complete period only (the shaded cells come before it).
| Hazard | 1950s | 1960s | 1970s | 1980s | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | 2020-26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter storms | – | – | – | – | 20 | 56 | 133 | 96 |
| Severe thunderstorm wind | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 58 | 58 |
| Fog, smoke and funnel clouds | – | – | – | – | 0 | 7 | 92 z | 25 |
| Extreme cold | – | – | – | – | 2 | 16 | 52 z | 36 |
| Floods | – | – | – | – | 13 | 12 | 32 | 14 |
| Hail | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 6 | 5 |
Fog, smoke and funnel clouds in the 2010s: 92 records against 7 in the decade before, 92 of them forecast-zone records. Extreme cold in the 2010s: 52 records against 16 in the decade before, 52 of them forecast-zone records. Cells marked z rose mostly through zone records. The local National Weather Service office files these once per forecast zone, so a change in how it draws its zones or splits a storm into records moves this count as much as the weather does; read it beside the Page County days with a record above.
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records per calendar decade; zone records from the CZ_TYPE field (Z).
What time of year?
56% of its winter storm records since 1996 fell in January and February. The two busiest months are in violet.
The values, month by month
Jan 135 · Feb 107 · Mar 87 · Apr 54 · May 66 · Jun 107 · Jul 80 · Aug 67 · Sep 53 · Oct 33 · Nov 33 · Dec 95 (records).
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records by the month they began.
Federal disaster declarations for Page County
FEMA's register lists 24 declarations that include Page County: 15 major disasters, 8 emergencies and one fire management assistance declaration. Most were for hurricane (5) and snowstorm (5).
| Declared | Number | Type | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | EM-3631 | Winter Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2025-04-04 | DR-4863 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms and Flooding |
| 2020-04-02 | DR-4512 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020-03-13 | EM-3448 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2018-09-11 | EM-3403 | Hurricane | Hurricane Florence |
| 2016-03-07 | DR-4262 | Snowstorm | Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm |
| 2012-10-29 | EM-3359 | Hurricane | Hurricane Sandy |
| 2012-07-27 | DR-4072 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms and Straight-Line Winds |
| 2010-04-27 | DR-1905 | Snowstorm | Severe Winter Storms and Snowstorms |
| 2010-02-16 | DR-1874 | Snowstorm | Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm |
| 2005-09-12 | EM-3240 | Hurricane | Hurricane Katrina Evacuation |
| 2003-09-18 | DR-1491 | Hurricane | Hurricane Isabel |
| 2002-02-28 | FM-2397 | Fire | Va - Fultz Run Fire - 02-28-2002 |
| 2000-02-28 | DR-1318 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| 1996-09-06 | DR-1135 | Hurricane | Hurricane Fran and Associated Severe Storm Cond |
| 1996-01-27 | DR-1098 | Flood | Flooding, High Winds, and Wind Driven Rain |
| 1996-01-13 | DR-1086 | Snowstorm | Blizzard of 96 (Severe Snow Storm) |
| 1993-03-25 | EM-3112 | Snowstorm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 1992-05-19 | DR-944 | Flood | Severe Storms & Flooding |
| 1985-11-09 | DR-755 | Flood | Severe Storms & Flooding |
| 1977-07-23 | EM-3046 | Drought | Drought |
| 1976-10-15 | EM-3018 | Drought | Drought |
| 1972-10-10 | DR-359 | Flood | Severe Storms & Flooding |
| 1972-06-23 | DR-339 | Flood | Tropical Storm Agnes |
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2), declarations through October 2, 2026; one declaration is counted once however many areas it names. OpenFEMA dataset page.
How many floods has Page County had?
NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 71 flood or flash flood records for Page County from 1996 to 2025, on 50 days, with 0 deaths. By flood insurance claims since 1978 (OpenFEMA, as of September 8, 2026), Page County ranks 971st of 2,942 U.S. counties.
| Storm | Began | Records | Deaths in the county |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hurricane Isabel | 2003-09-18 | 2 | 0 |
| Hurricane Fran | 1996-09-06 | 2 | 0 |
The National Flood Insurance Program has paid $3.6 million on 188 claims filed in Page County; the most in one year was 122 in 1996. Claims count insured losses only: uninsured flood damage is not in this file.
The values, year by year
1979: 1 · 1985: 20 · 1992: 2 · 1994: 1 · 1996: 122 · 1997: 1 · 1998: 1 · 1999: 2 · 2003: 28 · 2004: 1 · 2006: 1 · 2010: 1 · 2011: 2 · 2013: 1 · 2018: 3 · 2024: 1; the other years: 0.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims, as of September 8, 2026; claims by year of loss, payments in the dollars of the year paid. OpenFEMA dataset page.
FEMA's modeled risk for Page County
FEMA's National Risk Index rates Page County Very Low overall, with an expected annual loss of $9.6 million. These are FEMA's model estimates of future loss from 18 hazards, not a count of what happened; they can differ from the record above.
| Hazard | Risk rating | Expected annual loss | Modeled frequency |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drought | Relatively Moderate | $318K | 3.9 modeled event-days a year |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate | $558K | 4.3 a year (modeled) |
| Hurricane | Relatively Low | $1.0M | once in about 16 years (modeled) |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | $8K | once in about 2 years (modeled) |
| Riverine Flooding | Relatively Low | $6.5M | 1.6 a year (modeled) |
| Hail | Relatively Low | $135K | 2.7 a year (modeled) |
| Lightning | Relatively Low | $114K | 39 a year (modeled) |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Low | $26K | 13 a year (modeled) |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, county table, December 2025 release. FEMA's National Risk Index map.
Counties that share a border with Page County
Source: U.S. Census Bureau county adjacency file; NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records since 1950. The Census Bureau's adjacency file.
Next
- Tornadoes in VirginiaEvery Virginia tornado since 1950 and the counties with the most per square mile
- Winter storms in VirginiaThe state's winter storm records, by county, year and month
- The Virginia recordEvery hazard in the state, its deadliest events and its federal declarations
- FEMA's risk rating for each hazard in Page CountyThe hazard risk calculator: 18 hazards beside the county's record
- Download Page County's FEMA declarations (CSV)24 rows: every declaration that named the county, for your own analysis