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Mississippi · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Newton County, MS

24 FEMA disaster declarations (1974-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

24
FEMA declarations
19
Major disasters
52
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Newton County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 24 declarations, more than 66% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 7% below the Mississippi county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 48%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 48%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
24
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
12
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 28101 · Newton County 24 declarations · rank 985/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 24
  • MAJOR-MID 79%
  • RANK-LOWER #985
  • PHOTO-FINISH Eddy
  • NRI-LOW 52
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -7%

Nearest declaration peer: Eddy, ND (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Mississippi state profile

Newton County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Newton County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Newton County carries 24 FEMA declaration records, ranked 985 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Newton County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Newton County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Newton County

24 Top 34% higher than 66% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Newton County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Mississippi avg51/10052.4/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Mississippi county average

What does Newton County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 52.4/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Very Low (roughly $10.7M in annualized losses), and a Very High social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Tornado carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 1 years here, based on 49 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 12 claims and $120.6K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Mississippi county averages 25.9 federal declaration records, while Newton County has 24. The gap is 7% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

69 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Newton County, MS · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
17/30

24 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.2x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

24 declarations (0.9x state county average of 26)

Major Disaster Share Very High
20/25

19 of 24 declarations are major disasters (79%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Newton County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Newton County

Newton County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 25, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 27 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 27 8-hazard mean
Newton County NRI risk profile FIPS 28101 · displayed-hazard mean 27/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

24

Above median

Major Disaster share

79%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

52

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Newton County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 9 years
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 3.3 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 4 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 11 modeled event-days per year
Drought Relatively Low 16 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 72 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 533 years
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 2.4 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 1,890 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.4 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 9
Hurricane 7
Winter Storm 2
Biological 2
Severe Ice Storm 1
Tornado 1
Snowstorm 1
Flood 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Newton County's record, 38% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 19 79.2%

of all 24 declarations

Emergency - 5 20.8%

of all 24 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 2
2023 1
2022 1
2021 2
2020 3
2019 1
2014 1
2012 1
2011 1
2008 1
2005 2
2004 1
2003 1
1993 1
1990 1
Show 4 earlier declaration years
1979 1
1977 1
1976 1
1974 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 24 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 24 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4899 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Winter Storm 2026-02-06
3640 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4727 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES. DR Severe Storm 2023-08-12
4626 HURRICANE IDA DR Hurricane 2021-10-22
3569 HURRICANE IDA EM Hurricane 2021-08-28
4598 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-05-04
4528 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-05
3474 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4470 SEVERE STORM, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2019-12-06
4415 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADO DR Severe Storm 2019-02-14
4175 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2014-04-30
4081 HURRICANE ISAAC DR Hurricane 2012-08-29
1972 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND ASSOCIATED FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-04-29
3291 HURRICANE GUSTAV EM Hurricane 2008-08-30
1604 HURRICANE KATRINA DR Hurricane 2005-08-29
1594 HURRICANE DENNIS DR Hurricane 2005-07-10
1550 HURRICANE IVAN DR Hurricane 2004-09-15
1459 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODS DR Severe Storm 2003-04-24
968 SEVERE STORMS, HIGH WINDS & TORNADOES DR Tornado 1992-11-25
859 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1990-02-28
Show 4 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
577 STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODS DR Severe Storm 1979-04-16
3032 DROUGHT & FREEZING EM Snowstorm 1977-02-22
499 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1976-04-01
430 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-04-18

Storm Events in Mississippi

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Newton County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 5,557 17 60 $93.9M
Flash Flood 1,551 6 9 $83.6M
Hail 1,411 0 0 $90.1M
Heat 1,340 3 0 $0
Tornado 1,097 68 610 $562.0M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

12

Total Paid

$120.6K

Avg Per Claim

$10.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 52.4/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$10.7M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Tornado Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Landslide Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Tornado

Tornado exposure is the most spatially concentrated in the model: total destruction along a narrow corridor with intact property either side. County-level averages therefore understate severity badly for anyone actually in the path, and overstate it for everyone else.

For Newton County the two measures on this page point the same way: Tornado is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively Moderate), and Severe Storm declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Newton County's closest FEMA peer: McLean County, ND

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Newton County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Newton County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Newton County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 24 FEMA declarations, Newton County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Newton County?
The most common disaster type in Newton County is Severe Storm, with 9 declarations. Other disaster types include Hurricane (7), Winter Storm (2), Biological (2).
How does Newton County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Mississippi average?
The typical Mississippi county has 25.9 FEMA declaration records; Newton County has 24, or 7% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 16% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Newton County received?
Newton County has received 19 major disaster declarations, representing 79% of all 24 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Newton County filed?
Newton County has 12 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $120.6K in payments, with an average of $10.0K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Newton County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Newton County was 2020, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1974 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Newton County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Newton County, Mississippi has an overall risk score of 52.4 out of 100 (Relatively Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Very High and community resilience is Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $10.7M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Newton County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Newton County is Tornado (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Hurricane (Relatively Low) and Cold Wave (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts tornado here at roughly once every 1 years, drawn from 49 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Newton County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Mississippi profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events