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Mississippi · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Smith County, MS

25 FEMA disaster declarations (1969-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

25
FEMA declarations
19
Major disasters
47
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Smith County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 25 declarations, more than 71% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 3% below the Mississippi county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 47%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 47%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
25
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
11
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 28129 · Smith County 25 declarations · rank 886/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 25
  • MAJOR-MID 76%
  • RANK-LOWER #886
  • PHOTO-FINISH Jefferson
  • NRI-LOW 47
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-BELOW -3%

Nearest declaration peer: Jefferson, AR (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Mississippi state profile

Smith County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Smith County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Smith County carries 25 FEMA declaration records, ranked 886 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Smith County ranks in the national declaration registry

Smith County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Smith County

25 Top 29% higher than 71% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Smith County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Mississippi avg51/10047.2/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Mississippi county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Smith County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $3.3M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Hurricane carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Smith County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 47.2/100 for this county (Relatively Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $9.8M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Very High) and community resilience (Very Low) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Hurricane carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 8 years here, based on 44 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 11 claims and $78.4K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Mississippi county averages 25.9 federal declaration records, while Smith County has 25. The gap is 3% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

69 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Smith County, MS · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
18/30

25 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.2x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

25 declarations (1.0x state county average of 26)

Major Disaster Share Very High
19/25

19 of 25 declarations are major disasters (76%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Smith County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Smith County

Smith County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 48, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 27 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 27 8-hazard mean
Smith County NRI risk profile FIPS 28129 · displayed-hazard mean 27/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

25

High volume

Major Disaster share

76%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

47

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Smith County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Hurricane Relatively Moderate roughly once every 8 years
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 4.8 times per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 3.9 times per year
Drought Relatively Low 14 modeled event-days per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 12 modeled event-days per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low an average of 1 time per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 74 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 573 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 1,034 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.1 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 2.2 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 8
Hurricane 8
Winter Storm 2
Biological 2
Tornado 2
Severe Ice Storm 1
Snowstorm 1
Flood 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Smith County's federal record, 32% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 19 76.0%

of all 25 declarations

Emergency - 6 24.0%

of all 25 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 2
2025 1
2023 1
2022 1
2021 2
2020 5
2012 1
2011 1
2008 1
2005 2
2004 1
2003 1
1993 1
1990 1
1978 1
Show 3 earlier declaration years
1977 1
1974 1
1969 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 25 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 25 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4899 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Winter Storm 2026-02-06
3640 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4874 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2025-05-21
4727 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES. DR Severe Storm 2023-08-12
4626 HURRICANE IDA DR Hurricane 2021-10-22
3569 HURRICANE IDA EM Hurricane 2021-08-28
4598 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-05-04
4551 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2020-07-09
4536 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2020-04-16
4528 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-05
3474 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4470 SEVERE STORM, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2019-12-06
4081 HURRICANE ISAAC DR Hurricane 2012-08-29
1972 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND ASSOCIATED FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-04-29
3291 HURRICANE GUSTAV EM Hurricane 2008-08-30
1604 HURRICANE KATRINA DR Hurricane 2005-08-29
1594 HURRICANE DENNIS DR Hurricane 2005-07-10
1550 HURRICANE IVAN DR Hurricane 2004-09-15
1459 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODS DR Severe Storm 2003-04-24
968 SEVERE STORMS, HIGH WINDS & TORNADOES DR Tornado 1992-11-25
Show 5 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
859 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1990-02-28
3063 TORNADOES EM Tornado 1978-04-24
3032 DROUGHT & FREEZING EM Snowstorm 1977-02-22
430 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-04-18
271 HURRICANE CAMILLE DR Hurricane 1969-08-18

Storm Events in Mississippi

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Smith County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 5,557 17 60 $93.9M
Flash Flood 1,551 6 9 $83.6M
Hail 1,411 0 0 $90.1M
Heat 1,340 3 0 $0
Tornado 1,097 68 610 $562.0M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

11

Total Paid

$78.4K

Avg Per Claim

$7.1K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 47.2/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$9.8M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Hurricane Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Hurricane

Hurricane exposure in the model bundles the three ways a tropical system does harm, which arrive on different timescales and are insured differently: wind, storm surge on the coast, and rainfall flooding that can reach far inland well after landfall.

For Smith County the two measures on this page point the same way: Hurricane is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively Moderate), and Hurricane declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Smith County's closest FEMA peer: Larue County, KY

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Smith County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Smith County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Smith County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 25 FEMA declarations, Smith County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Smith County?
The most common disaster type in Smith County is Hurricane, with 8 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (8), Winter Storm (2), Biological (2).
How does Smith County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Mississippi average?
The typical Mississippi county has 25.9 FEMA declaration records; Smith County has 25, or 3% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 21% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Smith County received?
Smith County has received 19 major disaster declarations, representing 76% of all 25 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Smith County filed?
Smith County has 11 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $78.4K in payments, with an average of $7.1K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Smith County?
No. In Smith County, Hurricane has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $3.3M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Smith County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Smith County was 2020, with 5 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1969 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Smith County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Smith County, Mississippi has an overall risk score of 47.2 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very High; on community resilience, Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $9.8M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Smith County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Smith County is Hurricane (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Hail (Relatively Moderate) and Tornado (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts hurricane here at roughly once every 8 years, drawn from 44 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Smith County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Mississippi profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events