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Kentucky · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Russell County, KY

23 FEMA disaster declarations (1971-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

23
FEMA declarations
17
Major disasters
32
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Russell County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 23 declarations, more than 62% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 18% below the Kentucky county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 32%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 32%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
23
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
3
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 21207 · Russell County 23 declarations · rank 1112/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 23
  • MAJOR-MID 74%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,112
  • PHOTO-FINISH Roanoke
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -18%

Nearest declaration peer: Roanoke, VA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Kentucky state profile

Russell County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Russell County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Russell County carries 23 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1112 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Russell County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Russell County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Russell County

23 Top 38% higher than 62% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Russell County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Kentucky avg44/10031.9/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Kentucky county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Russell County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $2.9M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Winter Weather carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Russell County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 31.9/100 for this county (Very Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $7.2M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Very High) and community resilience (Relatively Moderate) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Winter Weather carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 7.7 times per year here, based on 147 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 3 claims and $103.7K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Kentucky county averages 28.1 federal declaration records, while Russell County has 23. The gap is 18% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

60 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Russell County, KY · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
17/30

23 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.1x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

23 declarations (0.8x state county average of 28)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

17 of 23 declarations are major disasters (74%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Russell County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Russell County

Russell County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 19 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 19 8-hazard mean
Russell County NRI risk profile FIPS 21207 · displayed-hazard mean 19/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

23

Above median

Major Disaster share

74%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

32

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Russell County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 7.7 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 7 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 2.9 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 5.5 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 446 years
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 55 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 30 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Heat Wave Very Low 2.7 modeled event-days per year
Drought Relatively Low 5.7 modeled event-days per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 2,335 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 13
Snowstorm 3
Winter Storm 2
Biological 2
Tornado 2
Hurricane 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Russell County's record, 57% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 17 73.9%

of all 23 declarations

Emergency - 6 26.1%

of all 23 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 2
2025 4
2024 1
2023 1
2020 2
2019 1
2012 1
2010 1
2009 1
2005 1
2004 1
1998 1
1997 1
1996 1
1995 1
Show 3 earlier declaration years
1994 1
1993 1
1971 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 23 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 23 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4913 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Winter Storm 2026-05-29
3633 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4875 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2025-05-23
3626 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-03
4860 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2025-02-24
3624 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES EM Severe Storm 2025-02-16
4804 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2024-07-23
4702 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2023-04-10
4497 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-28
3469 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4428 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2019-04-17
4057 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2012-03-06
1912 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, MUDSLIDES, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2010-05-11
1841 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2009-05-29
3231 HURRICANE KATRINA EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1537 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-08-06
1207 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 1998-03-03
1163 SEVERE STORM, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 1997-03-04
1089 BLIZZARD OF 96 DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
1055 TORNADOES, SEVERE WINDS, HAIL DR Tornado 1995-06-13
Show 3 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1018 SEVERE WEATHER, FREEZING RAIN, SLEET, SNW DR Snowstorm 1994-03-16
3104 SEVERE SNOWFALL & WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-16
305 TORNADO DR Tornado 1971-05-10

Storm Events in Kentucky

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Russell County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,702 9 56 $55.2M
Flash Flood 1,757 65 16 $42.6M
Flood 1,646 31 6 $37.1M
Hail 1,534 1 0 $4.7M
Winter Weather 1,079 14 54 $655.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

3

Total Paid

$103.7K

Avg Per Claim

$34.6K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 31.9/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$7.2M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Very Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Drought Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Winter Weather

Winter Weather in the model means the accumulation of snow and cold that disrupts rather than destroys: road closures, roof loads, burst pipes and lost heating. Its costs land heavily on transport and on households least able to absorb an interruption.

Worth noting for Russell County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Winter Weather carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Russell County's closest FEMA peer: Sacramento County, CA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Russell County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Russell County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Russell County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 23 FEMA declarations, Russell County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Russell County?
The most common disaster type in Russell County is Severe Storm, with 13 declarations. Other disaster types include Snowstorm (3), Winter Storm (2), Biological (2).
How does Russell County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Kentucky average?
The typical Kentucky county has 28.1 FEMA declaration records; Russell County has 23, or 18% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 11% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Russell County received?
Russell County has received 17 major disaster declarations, representing 74% of all 23 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Russell County filed?
Russell County has 3 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $103.7K in payments, with an average of $34.6K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Russell County?
No. In Russell County, Winter Weather has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $2.9M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Russell County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Russell County was 2025, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1971 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Russell County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Russell County, Kentucky has an overall risk score of 31.9 out of 100 (Very Low). Social vulnerability here rates Very High, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $7.2M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Russell County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Russell County as of the latest release is Winter Weather (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Cold Wave (Relatively Moderate) and Tornado (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts winter weather here at an average of 7.7 times per year, drawn from 147 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Russell County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Kentucky profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events