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Tennessee · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Scott County, TN

26 FEMA disaster declarations (1972-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

26
FEMA declarations
21
Major disasters
26
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Scott County. Its 26 FEMA declarations are 21% above the Tennessee county mean and exceed the count for 75% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 26%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 26%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
26
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
11
severe storm declarations, the most common hazard here

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 47151 · Scott County 26 declarations · rank 787/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-HEAVY · RANK-MID · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 26
  • MAJOR-HEAVY 81%
  • RANK-MID #787
  • PHOTO-FINISH Hunterdon
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +21%

Nearest declaration peer: Hunterdon, NJ (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Tennessee state profile

Scott County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Scott County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Scott County carries 26 FEMA declaration records, ranked 787 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Scott County ranks in the national declaration registry

Scott County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Scott County

26 Top 25% higher than 75% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Scott County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Tennessee avg53/10026.1/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Tennessee county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Scott County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $2.5M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Scott County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county's FEMA National Risk Index composite lands at 26.1/100 (Very Low), a modest reading against the rest of the country. Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $6.5M in annualized losses), tempered or compounded by a Relatively High social-vulnerability score and Very Low community-resilience score. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Landslide carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.8 times per year here.

Reading the federal records together

No paid-claim row for this county appears in the NFIP county table used by PlainHazard. That absence is not evidence that flooding never occurred: the register observes claims under federal flood-insurance policies, not uninsured losses, emergency reports, or every flood outside the program. The FEMA declaration history below is therefore the available federal-action record on this page.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Scott County's 26 federal records stand 21% above the Tennessee county mean of 21.4. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

74 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Scott County, TN · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
19/30

26 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.3x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
15/25

26 declarations (1.2x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share Very High
20/25

21 of 26 declarations are major disasters (81%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Scott County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Scott County

Scott County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 25, Drought 8, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 17 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 17 8-hazard mean
Scott County NRI risk profile FIPS 47151 · displayed-hazard mean 17/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

26

High volume

Major Disaster share

81%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

26

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Scott County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Relatively Moderate an average of 1.8 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 1.2 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 219 years
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 8.6 times per year
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 57 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 349 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 5.5 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 3.1 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 5 years
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 46 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low an average of 1 time per year
Drought Very Low 13 modeled event-days per year
Heat Wave Very Low 0.1 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 11
Flood 5
Winter Storm 2
Tornado 2
Severe Ice Storm 2
Biological 2
Hurricane 1
Snowstorm 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Scott County's record, 42% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 21 80.8%

of all 26 declarations

Emergency - 5 19.2%

of all 26 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 2
2025 1
2021 2
2020 3
2019 1
2015 1
2011 2
2005 1
2003 2
2002 1
1999 1
1998 2
1994 1
1993 1
1977 1
Show 4 earlier declaration years
1975 1
1974 1
1973 1
1972 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 26 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 26 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4898 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Winter Storm 2026-02-06
3635 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
3625 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-02
4601 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Tornado 2021-05-08
4594 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-04-21
4541 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2020-04-24
4514 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-02
3473 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4427 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2019-04-17
4211 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 2015-04-02
1974 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND ASSOCIATED FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-01
1965 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-03-31
3217 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1456 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-03-20
1441 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOS DR Severe Storm 2002-11-13
1408 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-04-05
1260 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 1999-01-15
1215 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-04-20
1197 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-01-13
1010 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM,FLASH FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1994-02-28
Show 6 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
3095 SEVERE SNOWFALL, WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-14
533 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1977-04-29
459 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1975-03-22
424 TORNADOES DR Tornado 1974-04-04
395 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-06-28
331 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1972-05-15

Storm Events in Tennessee

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Scott County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,558 22 58 $107.0M
Hail 1,690 0 0 $545.5K
Heat 1,343 9 15 $0
Flash Flood 1,264 55 3 $334.4M
Winter Weather 1,088 5 0 $261.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 26.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$6.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Drought Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for Scott County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Scott County's closest FEMA peer: Pierce County, WA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Scott County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Scott County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Scott County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 26 FEMA declarations, Scott County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Scott County?
The most common disaster type in Scott County is Severe Storm, with 11 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (5), Winter Storm (2), Tornado (2).
How does Scott County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Tennessee average?
FEMA lists 26 declaration records for Scott County. That is 21% above the Tennessee county mean of 21.4. Its count is also 25% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Scott County received?
Scott County has received 21 major disaster declarations, representing 81% of all 26 disaster declarations.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Scott County?
No. In Scott County, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $2.5M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Scott County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Scott County was 2020, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1972 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Scott County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Scott County, Tennessee has an overall risk score of 26.1 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively High and community resilience is Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $6.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Scott County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Scott County as of the latest release is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Cold Wave (Relatively Moderate) and Wildfire (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at an average of 1.8 times per year. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Scott County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Tennessee profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events