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Missouri · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

St. Louis County, MO

34 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

34
FEMA declarations
25
Major disasters
99
NRI risk · Relatively High
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for St. Louis County. Its 34 FEMA declarations are 38% above the Missouri county mean and exceed the count for 92% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 1%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 1%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively High
FEMA National Risk Index rating
34
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
12,031
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 29189 · St. Louis County 34 declarations · rank 253/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-UPPER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-HIGH · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 34
  • MAJOR-MID 74%
  • RANK-UPPER #253
  • PHOTO-FINISH Sumter
  • NRI-HIGH 99
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +38%

Nearest declaration peer: Sumter, FL (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Missouri state profile

St. Louis County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among St. Louis County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows St. Louis County carries 34 FEMA declaration records, ranked 253 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where St. Louis County ranks in the national declaration registry

St. Louis County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · St. Louis County

34 Top 8% higher than 92% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

St. Louis County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Missouri avg51/10099.3/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Missouri county average

What does St. Louis County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 12,031 claims and $264.7M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $22.0K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. St. Louis County's 34 federal records stand 38% above the Missouri county mean of 24.6. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 99.3/100 (Relatively High). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively High (roughly $752.7M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Low and community resilience Relatively High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Heat Wave stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 15 modeled event-days per year here, based on 153 historical events on record.

78 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

St. Louis County, MO · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
25/30

34 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.6x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
17/25

34 declarations (1.4x state county average of 25)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

25 of 34 declarations are major disasters (74%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in St. Louis County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - St. Louis County

St. Louis County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 70, Flood 70, Hurricane 8, Tornado 70, Wildfire 8, Drought 8, Heat Wave 92, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 52 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 52 8-hazard mean
St. Louis County NRI risk profile FIPS 29189 · displayed-hazard mean 52/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

34

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

74%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

99

Relatively High

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike St. Louis County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Heat Wave Very High 15 modeled event-days per year
Hail Very High an average of 5.3 times per year
Lightning Very High an average of 53 times per year
Cold Wave Very High an average of 1.7 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively High an average of 2.8 times per year
Earthquake Relatively High roughly once every 185 years
Ice Storm Very High an average of 1.4 times per year
Winter Weather Very High an average of 8.7 times per year
Tornado Relatively High roughly once every 2 years
Landslide Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 5.9 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 8,618 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 90 years
Drought Very Low 1.9 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 16
Flood 10
Severe Ice Storm 3
Biological 2
Hurricane 1
Tornado 1
Drought 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on St. Louis County's record, 47% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 25 73.5%

of all 34 declarations

Emergency - 9 26.5%

of all 34 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2025 2
2022 1
2020 2
2017 1
2016 2
2013 1
2011 3
2009 2
2008 3
2007 2
2006 1
2005 1
2003 1
2000 1
1999 1
Show 8 earlier declaration years
1995 1
1994 2
1993 2
1987 1
1983 1
1979 1
1976 1
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 34 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 34 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4877 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2025-06-09
4867 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND WILDFIRES DR Severe Storm 2025-05-21
4665 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2022-08-08
4490 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-26
3482 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4317 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2017-06-02
4250 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2016-01-21
3374 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING EM Flood 2016-01-02
4130 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2013-07-18
3325 FLOODING EM Flood 2011-06-30
1980 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-09
3317 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2011-02-03
3303 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2009-01-30
1809 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND A TORNADO DR Severe Storm 2008-11-13
1773 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-06-25
1749 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-03-19
3281 SEVERE WINTER STORMS EM Severe Ice Storm 2007-12-12
1676 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 2007-01-15
1673 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2006-12-29
3267 SEVERE STORMS EM Severe Storm 2006-07-21
Show 14 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
3232 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1463 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-05-06
1328 SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLASH FLOODING DR Flood 2000-05-12
1256 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-10-19
1054 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, HAIL, FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1995-06-02
1023 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1994-04-21
1006 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1993-12-01
995 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-07-09
989 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-05-11
779 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1986-10-14
672 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1982-12-10
579 TORNADOES, TORRENTIAL RAIN & FLOODING DR Tornado 1979-04-21
3017 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-09-24
372 HEAVY RAINS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1973-04-19

Storm Events in Missouri

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to St. Louis County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,391 30 52 $63.4M
Hail 4,411 0 1 $86.1M
Flash Flood 2,399 47 14 $406.6M
Flood 1,810 25 7 $304.6M
Drought 1,033 0 350 $53.6M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

12,031

Total Paid

$264.7M

Avg Per Claim

$22.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively High

Score: 99.3/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively High

$752.7M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Heat Wave Very High
Hail Very High
Lightning Very High
Cold Wave Very High
Riverine Flooding Relatively High
Earthquake Relatively High
Ice Storm Very High
Winter Weather Very High
Tornado Relatively High
Landslide Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively High
Wildfire Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Drought Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Heat Wave

Heat Wave is measured in event-days per year rather than discrete events, and it is the hazard whose harm is most consistently undercounted: its toll is health and mortality, concentrated among people without cooling, rather than visible damage to property.

Worth noting for St. Louis County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Heat Wave carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

St. Louis County's closest FEMA peer: Brazoria County, TX

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for St. Louis County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for St. Louis County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for St. Louis County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

St. Louis County's NFIP claims file (12,031 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in St. Louis County?
The most common disaster type in St. Louis County is Severe Storm, with 16 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (10), Severe Ice Storm (3), Biological (2).
How does St. Louis County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Missouri average?
FEMA lists 34 declaration records for St. Louis County. That is 38% above the Missouri county mean of 24.6. Its count is also 64% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has St. Louis County received?
St. Louis County has received 25 major disaster declarations, representing 74% of all 34 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has St. Louis County filed?
St. Louis County has 12,031 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $264.7M in payments, with an average of $22.0K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in St. Louis County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in St. Louis County was 2008, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2025.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for St. Louis County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, St. Louis County, Missouri has an overall risk score of 99.3 out of 100 (Relatively High). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Low; on community resilience, Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively High, representing $752.7M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to St. Louis County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in St. Louis County as of the latest release is Heat Wave (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Hail (Very High) and Lightning (Very High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts heat wave here at 15 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 153 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for St. Louis County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Missouri profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events