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Texas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Tarrant County, TX

28 FEMA disaster declarations (1966-2021), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

28
FEMA declarations
14
Major disasters
99
NRI risk · Relatively High
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Tarrant County. Its 28 FEMA declarations are 34% above the Texas county mean and exceed the count for 81% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 1%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 1%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively High
FEMA National Risk Index rating
28
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
3,569
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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How does Tarrant County compare?

Tarrant County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

28 Top 19% higher than 81% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Tarrant County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

0/100100/100Texas avg49/10099.1/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Tarrant County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $258.1M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Hail carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Tarrant County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 3,569 claims and $61.3M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $17.2K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Tarrant County's 28 federal records stand 34% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 99.1/100 (Relatively High). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively High (roughly $608.1M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Low and community resilience Relatively Low, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Hail stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 9.4 times per year here, based on 358 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 28 entries for Tarrant County, including 14 Major Disaster records, 34% above the Texas county mean. Across the 55-year span, that works out to 0.5 declarations a year. Hurricane leads the file with 8 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

70 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Tarrant County, TX · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
20/30

28 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.4x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
17/25

28 declarations (1.3x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share High
13/25

14 of 28 declarations are major disasters (50%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

9 different disaster types declared in Tarrant County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Texas Avg

+34%

State avg: 20.9

vs. National Avg

+35%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.5

Over 55 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Tarrant County

Tarrant County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 70, Hurricane 25, Tornado 92, Wildfire 48, Drought 25, Heat Wave 70, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 53 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 53 8-hazard mean
Tarrant County NRI risk profile FIPS 48439 · displayed-hazard mean 53/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

28

High volume

Major Disaster share

50%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

99

Relatively High

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Tarrant County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Hail Very High an average of 9.4 times per year
Tornado Very High roughly once every 1 years
Heat Wave Relatively High 19 modeled event-days per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively High an average of 5.4 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively High roughly once every 1 years
Ice Storm Very High an average of 1.2 times per year
Winter Weather Very High an average of 4.1 times per year
Lightning Relatively High an average of 54 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Moderate roughly once every 839 years
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 1,299 years
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 4.2 times per year
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 59 years
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 8 years
Drought Relatively Low 36 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 8
Severe Storm 5
Fire 5
Flood 3
Severe Ice Storm 2
Biological 2
Other 1
Tornado 1
Drought 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Tarrant County's federal record, 29% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 14 50.0%

of all 28 declarations

Emergency - 13 46.4%

of all 28 declarations

Fire Management - 1 3.6%

of all 28 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2021 2
2020 3
2017 1
2015 1
2008 3
2007 2
2006 2
2005 3
2003 1
2000 1
1999 1
1998 1
1996 1
1993 1
1992 1
Show 4 earlier declaration years
1990 1
1989 1
1982 1
1966 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 28 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 28 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4586 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-19
3554 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-14
3540 TROPICAL STORMS MARCO AND LAURA EM Hurricane 2020-08-24
4485 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3458 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4332 HURRICANE HARVEY DR Hurricane 2017-08-25
4223 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-05-29
3294 HURRICANE IKE EM Hurricane 2008-09-10
3290 HURRICANE GUSTAV EM Hurricane 2008-08-29
3284 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2008-03-14
3277 HURRICANE DEAN EM Hurricane 2007-08-18
1709 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-06-29
1624 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-11
2593 KENNEDALE FIRE FM Fire 2005-12-28
1606 HURRICANE RITA DR Hurricane 2005-09-24
3261 HURRICANE RITA EM Hurricane 2005-09-21
3216 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
3171 LOSS OF THE SPACE SHUTTLE COLUMBIA EM Other 2003-02-01
1323 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Tornado 2000-04-07
3142 EXTREME FIRE HAZARDS EM Fire 1999-09-01
Show 8 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1239 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DR Severe Storm 1998-08-26
3117 EXTREME FIRE HAZARD EM Fire 1996-02-23
3113 EXTREME FIRE HAZARD EM Drought 1993-09-10
930 SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DR Flood 1991-12-26
863 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1990-05-02
828 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1989-05-19
648 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1981-10-23
218 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1966-05-12

Storm Events in Texas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Tarrant County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 14,072 0 15 $7.4B
Thunderstorm Wind 10,293 41 141 $369.9M
Drought 7,032 0 0 $86.0K
Flash Flood 4,728 338 24 $47.6B
Heat 4,079 119 405 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

3,569

Total Paid

$61.3M

Avg Per Claim

$17.2K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively High

Score: 99.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively High

$608.1M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Hail Very High
Tornado Very High
Heat Wave Relatively High
Riverine Flooding Relatively High
Cold Wave Relatively High
Ice Storm Very High
Winter Weather Very High
Lightning Relatively High
Wildfire Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively Low
Landslide Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Hail

Hail is among the most expensive hazards in the model relative to how little it threatens life. It concentrates on roofs, vehicles and crops, and a single severe storm can generate an insurance loss across a metropolitan area without a single injury.

Worth noting for Tarrant County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Hail carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Tarrant County's closest FEMA peer: Beaver County, OK

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Tarrant County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Tarrant County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Tarrant County's NFIP claims file (3,569 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Tarrant County?
The most common disaster type in Tarrant County is Hurricane, with 8 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (5), Fire (5), Flood (3).
How does Tarrant County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Texas average?
FEMA lists 28 declaration records for Tarrant County. That is 34% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. Its count is also 35% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Tarrant County received?
Tarrant County has received 14 major disaster declarations, representing 50% of all 28 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Tarrant County filed?
Tarrant County has 3,569 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $61.3M in payments, with an average of $17.2K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Tarrant County?
No. In Tarrant County, Hail has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $258.1M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Tarrant County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Tarrant County was 2005, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1966 to 2021.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Tarrant County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Tarrant County, Texas has an overall risk score of 99.1 out of 100 (Relatively High). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Low; on community resilience, Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively High, representing $608.1M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Tarrant County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Tarrant County as of the latest release is Hail (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Tornado (Very High) and Heat Wave (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts hail here at an average of 9.4 times per year, drawn from 358 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Tarrant County

Tarrant County, TX has 28 federal declaration records, 34% more than the Texas county mean of 21; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 14 of 28 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Texas overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Texas mean and the totals for 81% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • The large NFIP claims file and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records; the guide explains where they overlap and where they do not. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.