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Florida · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Baker County, FL

39 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

39
FEMA declarations
23
Major disasters
13
NRI risk · Very Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Baker County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 39 declarations, more than 96% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 3% below the Florida county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 13%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 13%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
39
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
95
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 12003 · Baker County 39 declarations · rank 135/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-UPPER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 39
  • MAJOR-MID 59%
  • RANK-UPPER #135
  • PHOTO-FINISH Canadian
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-BELOW -3%

Nearest declaration peer: Canadian, OK (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Florida state profile

Baker County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Baker County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Baker County carries 39 FEMA declaration records, ranked 135 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Baker County ranks in the national declaration registry

Baker County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Baker County

39 Top 4% higher than 96% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Baker County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Florida avg76/10013.3/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Florida county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Baker County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $3.0M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Low), while Wildfire carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Baker County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 95 paid claims, totaling $2.9M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $30.6K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Florida county averages 40.4 federal declaration records, while Baker County has 39. The gap is 3% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's National Risk Index places this county in the low end of the national distribution, composite score 13.3/100 (Very Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $6.3M in annualized losses). Two modifiers shape how that exposure becomes real-world harm here: social vulnerability (Relatively Low) and community resilience (Relatively High). Even the county's top-rated hazard, Wildfire, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 299 years here.

75 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

Baker County, FL · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
28/30

39 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.9x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

39 declarations (1.0x state county average of 40)

Major Disaster Share High
15/25

23 of 39 declarations are major disasters (59%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Baker County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Baker County

Baker County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 25, Tornado 25, Wildfire 25, Drought 8, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 8. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 17 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 17 8-hazard mean
Baker County NRI risk profile FIPS 12003 · displayed-hazard mean 17/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

39

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

59%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

13

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Baker County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 299 years
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 5 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 4.1 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 80 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 935 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Cold Wave Very Low an average of 1.8 times per year
Drought Very Low 18 modeled event-days per year
Hail Very Low an average of 2 times per year
Strong Wind Very Low an average of 1.2 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 14 years
Winter Weather Very Low roughly once every 9 years
Coastal Flooding No Rating roughly once every 83 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 17
Severe Storm 9
Fire 5
Tropical Storm 3
Biological 2
Freezing 1
Tornado 1
Flood 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Baker County's federal record, 44% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 23 59.0%

of all 39 declarations

Emergency - 13 33.3%

of all 39 declarations

Fire Management - 3 7.7%

of all 39 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2025 2
2024 4
2023 3
2022 2
2021 1
2020 2
2019 2
2017 3
2016 1
2012 1
2009 1
2008 2
2007 1
2005 1
2004 3
Show 7 earlier declaration years
2001 1
2000 1
1999 2
1998 2
1997 1
1993 2
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 39 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 39 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4834 HURRICANE MILTON DR Hurricane 2024-10-11
3622 HURRICANE MILTON EM Hurricane 2024-10-07
4828 HURRICANE HELENE DR Hurricane 2024-09-28
4806 HURRICANE DEBBY DR Tropical Storm 2024-08-10
3605 TROPICAL STORM DEBBY EM Tropical Storm 2024-08-03
4794 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2024-06-17
4734 HURRICANE IDALIA DR Hurricane 2023-08-31
3596 TROPICAL STORM IDALIA EM Tropical Storm 2023-08-28
4680 HURRICANE NICOLE DR Hurricane 2022-12-13
4673 HURRICANE IAN DR Hurricane 2022-09-29
3584 TROPICAL STORM IAN EM Hurricane 2022-09-24
3561 TROPICAL STORM ELSA EM Severe Storm 2021-07-04
4486 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3432 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3419 HURRICANE DORIAN EM Hurricane 2019-08-30
3405 HURRICANE MICHAEL EM Hurricane 2018-10-09
4337 HURRICANE IRMA DR Hurricane 2017-09-10
3385 HURRICANE IRMA EM Hurricane 2017-09-05
3377 HURRICANE MATTHEW EM Hurricane 2016-10-06
4280 HURRICANE HERMINE DR Hurricane 2016-09-28
Show 19 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
4068 TROPICAL STORM DEBBY DR Severe Storm 2012-07-03
1840 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, TORNADOES, AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Severe Storm 2009-05-27
1785 TROPICAL STORM FAY DR Severe Storm 2008-08-24
3288 TROPICAL STORM FAY EM Severe Storm 2008-08-21
2689 SUWANNEE FIRE COMPLEX FM Fire 2007-05-07
3220 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1561 HURRICANE JEANNE DR Hurricane 2004-09-26
1545 HURRICANE FRANCES DR Hurricane 2004-09-04
1539 TROPICAL STORM BONNIE AND HURRICANE CHARLEY DR Hurricane 2004-08-13
1359 SEVERE FREEZE DR Freezing 2001-02-05
2306 FL, SUWANNEE FIRE COMPLEX FM Fire 2000-06-05
3139 FL-FIRES 04/15/99 EM Fire 1999-04-27
2258 FL-FIRES 04/13/99 FM Fire 1999-04-20
1223 EXTREME FIRE HAZARD DR Fire 1998-06-18
1195 SEVERE STORMS, HIGH WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-01-06
1141 TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE DR Severe Storm 1996-10-15
982 TORNADOES, FLOODING, HIGH WINDS & TIDES, FREEZING DR Tornado 1993-03-13
966 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1992-10-08
387 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-05-26

Storm Events in Florida

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Baker County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 5,243 17 45 $24.8M
Hail 1,012 0 0 $564.6K
Heavy Rain 865 2 3 $200.0K
Flood 826 9 0 $2.0B
Tropical Storm 767 92 6 $4.9B

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

95

Total Paid

$2.9M

Avg Per Claim

$30.6K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 13.3/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$6.3M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Wildfire Relatively Low
Hurricane Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Drought Very Low
Hail Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Coastal Flooding No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Wildfire

Wildfire risk in the model reflects fuel, terrain, weather and how much development sits in the wildland-urban interface. It is one of the few hazards where the exposure is materially changed by land management and building choices, not only by where the county happens to be.

Worth noting for Baker County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Wildfire carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Low), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Baker County's closest FEMA peer: Payne County, OK

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Baker County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Baker County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Baker County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Baker County's NFIP claims file (95 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Baker County?
The most common disaster type in Baker County is Hurricane, with 17 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (9), Fire (5), Tropical Storm (3).
How does Baker County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Florida average?
The typical Florida county has 40.4 FEMA declaration records; Baker County has 39, or 3% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 88% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Baker County received?
Baker County has received 23 major disaster declarations, representing 59% of all 39 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Baker County filed?
Baker County has 95 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $2.9M in payments, with an average of $30.6K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Baker County?
No. In Baker County, Wildfire has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $3.0M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Baker County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Baker County was 2024, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2025.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Baker County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Baker County, Florida has an overall risk score of 13.3 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Low and community resilience is Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $6.3M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Baker County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Baker County as of the latest release is Wildfire (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Hurricane (Relatively Low) and Heat Wave (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts wildfire here at roughly once every 299 years. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Baker County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Florida profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events