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Alabama · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Baldwin County, AL

38 FEMA disaster declarations (1970-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

38
FEMA declarations
24
Major disasters
97
NRI risk · Relatively High
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Baldwin County. Its 38 FEMA declarations are 47% above the Alabama county mean and exceed the count for 95% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 3%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 3%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively High
FEMA National Risk Index rating
38
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
19,745
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Baldwin County compare?

Baldwin County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

38 Top 5% higher than 95% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Baldwin County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Alabama county average

0/100100/100Alabama avg62/10096.7/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Alabama county average

What does Baldwin County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 19,745 claims and $659.4M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $33.4K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Baldwin County's 38 federal records stand 47% above the Alabama county mean of 25.8. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 96.7/100 (Relatively High). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively High (roughly $237.4M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Moderate and community resilience Very High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Hurricane stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 4 years here, based on 100 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 38 entries for Baldwin County, including 24 Major Disaster records, 47% above the Alabama county mean. Across the 54-year span, that works out to 0.7 declarations a year. Hurricane leads the file with 23 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

80 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

Baldwin County, AL · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
28/30

38 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.8x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
18/25

38 declarations (1.5x state county average of 26)

Major Disaster Share High
16/25

24 of 38 declarations are major disasters (63%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Baldwin County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Alabama Avg

+47%

State avg: 25.8

vs. National Avg

+83%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.7

Over 54 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Baldwin County

Baldwin County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 48, Hurricane 92, Tornado 70, Wildfire 48, Drought 48, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 53 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 53 8-hazard mean
Baldwin County NRI risk profile FIPS 01003 · displayed-hazard mean 53/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

38

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

63%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

97

Relatively High

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Baldwin County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Hurricane Very High roughly once every 4 years
Lightning Very High an average of 84 times per year
Tornado Relatively High an average of 1.3 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 3 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 9.3 modeled event-days per year
Wildfire Relatively Moderate roughly once every 319 years
Coastal Flooding Relatively High an average of 3.7 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 1.9 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Drought Relatively Moderate 16 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 792 years
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 1.5 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 6 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 23
Severe Storm 8
Biological 2
Flood 2
Snowstorm 1
Drought 1
Tornado 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Baldwin County's federal record, 61% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 24 63.2%

of all 38 declarations

Emergency - 14 36.8%

of all 38 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 1
2020 4
2019 1
2018 2
2017 1
2014 1
2012 1
2011 2
2010 1
2009 1
2008 3
2005 4
2004 1
2003 2
1998 2
Show 10 earlier declaration years
1997 1
1996 1
1993 1
1990 1
1985 1
1979 2
1978 1
1977 1
1973 1
1970 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 38 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 38 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3618 HURRICANE HELENE EM Hurricane 2024-09-26
4563 HURRICANE SALLY DR Hurricane 2020-09-20
3545 HURRICANE SALLY EM Hurricane 2020-09-14
4503 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-29
3472 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3407 HURRICANE MICHAEL EM Hurricane 2018-10-12
4349 HURRICANE NATE DR Hurricane 2017-11-16
3394 HURRICANE NATE EM Hurricane 2017-10-08
3389 HURRICANE IRMA EM Hurricane 2017-09-11
4176 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2014-05-02
4082 HURRICANE ISAAC DR Hurricane 2012-09-21
1971 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-04-28
3319 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS EM Severe Storm 2011-04-27
1866 TROPICAL STORM IDA DR Hurricane 2009-12-22
1835 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, TORNADOES & STRAIGHT-LINE DR Severe Storm 2009-04-28
1797 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE IKE DR Severe Storm 2008-09-26
1789 HURRICANE GUSTAV DR Hurricane 2008-09-10
3292 HURRICANE GUSTAV EM Hurricane 2008-08-30
3237 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1605 HURRICANE KATRINA DR Hurricane 2005-08-29
Show 18 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
3214 HURRICANE KATRINA EM Hurricane 2005-08-28
1593 HURRICANE DENNIS DR Hurricane 2005-07-10
1549 HURRICANE IVAN DR Hurricane 2004-09-15
1466 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-05-12
1438 TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE DR Hurricane 2002-10-09
1250 HURRICANE GEORGES - 18 SEP 98 DR Hurricane 1998-09-30
3133 HURRICANE GEORGES EM Hurricane 1998-09-28
1185 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING,HIGH WINDS, ASSOC WITH HURR DANNY DR Severe Storm 1997-07-25
1070 HURRICANE OPAL DR Hurricane 1995-10-04
3096 SEVERE SNOWFALL, WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-15
861 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1990-03-21
742 HURRICANE ELENA DR Hurricane 1985-09-07
598 HURRICANE FREDERIC DR Hurricane 1979-09-13
3074 FLOODING EM Flood 1979-03-17
563 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1978-08-09
3045 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-07-20
369 TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Tornado 1973-03-27
280 HURRICANE CAMILLE DR Hurricane 1969-11-07

Storm Events in Alabama

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Baldwin County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 7,827 16 115 $51.7M
Hail 1,349 0 0 $5.0K
Flash Flood 1,047 17 7 $12.8M
Tornado 896 57 343 $49.7M
Drought 857 0 0 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

19,745

Total Paid

$659.4M

Avg Per Claim

$33.4K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively High

Score: 96.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively High

$237.4M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Hurricane Very High
Lightning Very High
Tornado Relatively High
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Moderate
Coastal Flooding Relatively High
Strong Wind Relatively High
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Landslide Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Hurricane

Hurricane exposure in the model bundles the three ways a tropical system does harm, which arrive on different timescales and are insured differently: wind, storm surge on the coast, and rainfall flooding that can reach far inland well after landfall.

For Baldwin County the two measures on this page point the same way: Hurricane is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Very High), and Hurricane declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Baldwin County's closest FEMA peer: Suffolk County, MA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Baldwin County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Baldwin County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Baldwin County's NFIP claims file (19,745 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Baldwin County?
The most common disaster type in Baldwin County is Hurricane, with 23 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (8), Biological (2), Flood (2).
How does Baldwin County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Alabama average?
FEMA lists 38 declaration records for Baldwin County. That is 47% above the Alabama county mean of 25.8. Its count is also 83% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Baldwin County received?
Baldwin County has received 24 major disaster declarations, representing 63% of all 38 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Baldwin County filed?
Baldwin County has 19,745 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $659.4M in payments, with an average of $33.4K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Baldwin County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Baldwin County was 2005, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1970 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Baldwin County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Baldwin County, Alabama has an overall risk score of 96.7 out of 100 (Relatively High). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Moderate; on community resilience, Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively High, representing $237.4M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Baldwin County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Baldwin County is Hurricane (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Lightning (Very High) and Tornado (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts hurricane here at roughly once every 4 years, drawn from 100 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Baldwin County

Baldwin County, AL has 38 federal declaration records, 47% more than the Alabama county mean of 26; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 24 of 38 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Alabama overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Alabama mean and the totals for 95% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • The large NFIP claims file and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records; the guide explains where they overlap and where they do not. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.