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Texas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Smith County, TX

33 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

33
FEMA declarations
20
Major disasters
84
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Smith County. Its 33 FEMA declarations are 58% above the Texas county mean and exceed the count for 91% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 16%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 16%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
33
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
311
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 48423 · Smith County 33 declarations · rank 300/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-UPPER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-MID · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-HIGH

  • DECL-HEAVY 33
  • MAJOR-MID 61%
  • RANK-UPPER #300
  • PHOTO-FINISH Nelson
  • NRI-MID 84
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-HIGH +58%

Nearest declaration peer: Nelson, ND (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Texas state profile

Smith County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Smith County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Smith County carries 33 FEMA declaration records, ranked 300 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Smith County ranks in the national declaration registry

Smith County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Smith County

33 Top 9% higher than 91% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Smith County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Texas avg49/10084.2/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Smith County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $21.4M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Heat Wave carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Smith County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 311 paid claims, totaling $4.7M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $15.1K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Smith County's 33 federal records stand 58% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 84.2/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Low (roughly $43.1M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively High and community resilience Relatively High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Heat Wave carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 19 modeled event-days per year here, based on 316 historical events on record.

79 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

Smith County, TX · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
24/30

33 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.6x national county average)

County Disaster Density Very High
20/25

33 declarations (1.6x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share High
15/25

20 of 33 declarations are major disasters (61%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

9 different disaster types declared in Smith County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Smith County

Smith County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 48, Hurricane 25, Tornado 25, Wildfire 25, Drought 0, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 33 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 33 8-hazard mean
Smith County NRI risk profile FIPS 48423 · displayed-hazard mean 33/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

33

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

61%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

84

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Smith County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 19 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Relatively High an average of 60 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively High roughly once every 1 years
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 4.5 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 3.4 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively High an average of 1.3 times per year
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 4.5 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 2 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 721 years
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 41 years
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 1,136 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Drought No Rating 22 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 8
Fire 6
Severe Storm 5
Flood 4
Severe Ice Storm 3
Tornado 3
Biological 2
Other 1
Coastal Storm 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Smith County's federal record, 24% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 20 60.6%

of all 33 declarations

Emergency - 12 36.4%

of all 33 declarations

Fire Management - 1 3.0%

of all 33 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 1
2021 2
2020 3
2016 2
2015 1
2011 1
2008 4
2007 2
2006 1
2005 3
2003 1
2001 2
2000 1
1999 1
1998 1
Show 6 earlier declaration years
1996 1
1992 1
1989 2
1988 1
1987 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 33 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 33 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4781 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2024-05-17
4586 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-19
3554 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-14
3540 TROPICAL STORMS MARCO AND LAURA EM Hurricane 2020-08-24
4485 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3458 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4269 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2016-04-25
4245 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-11-25
4223 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-05-29
4029 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2011-09-09
1791 HURRICANE IKE DR Hurricane 2008-09-13
3294 HURRICANE IKE EM Hurricane 2008-09-10
3290 HURRICANE GUSTAV EM Hurricane 2008-08-29
3284 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2008-03-14
3277 HURRICANE DEAN EM Hurricane 2007-08-18
1709 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-06-29
1624 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-11
1606 HURRICANE RITA DR Hurricane 2005-09-24
3261 HURRICANE RITA EM Hurricane 2005-09-21
3216 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
Show 13 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
3171 LOSS OF THE SPACE SHUTTLE COLUMBIA EM Other 2003-02-01
1379 TX-TROPICAL STORM ALLISON-06-06-2001 DR Coastal Storm 2001-06-09
1356 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2001-01-08
2340 TX-PINE COVE FIRE-9/18/00 FM Fire 2000-09-18
3142 EXTREME FIRE HAZARDS EM Fire 1999-09-01
1239 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DR Severe Storm 1998-08-26
3117 EXTREME FIRE HAZARD EM Fire 1996-02-23
930 SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DR Flood 1991-12-26
828 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1989-05-19
823 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1989-04-23
802 SEVERE STORMS & TORNADOES DR Tornado 1987-11-20
793 SEVERE STORMS & TORNADOES DR Tornado 1987-05-26
199 TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Tornado 1965-06-19

Storm Events in Texas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Smith County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 14,072 0 15 $7.4B
Thunderstorm Wind 10,293 41 141 $369.9M
Drought 7,032 0 0 $86.0K
Flash Flood 4,728 338 24 $47.6B
Heat 4,079 119 405 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

311

Total Paid

$4.7M

Avg Per Claim

$15.1K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 84.2/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$43.1M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively High
Cold Wave Relatively High
Strong Wind Relatively High
Winter Weather Relatively High
Ice Storm Relatively High
Hail Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Hurricane Relatively Low
Landslide Relatively Low
Earthquake Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Drought No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Heat Wave

Heat Wave is measured in event-days per year rather than discrete events, and it is the hazard whose harm is most consistently undercounted: its toll is health and mortality, concentrated among people without cooling, rather than visible damage to property.

Worth noting for Smith County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Heat Wave carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Smith County's closest FEMA peer: Carter County, OK

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Smith County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Smith County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Smith County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Smith County's NFIP claims file (311 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Smith County?
The most common disaster type in Smith County is Hurricane, with 8 declarations. Other disaster types include Fire (6), Severe Storm (5), Flood (4).
How does Smith County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Texas average?
FEMA lists 33 declaration records for Smith County. That is 58% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. Its count is also 59% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Smith County received?
Smith County has received 20 major disaster declarations, representing 61% of all 33 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Smith County filed?
Smith County has 311 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $4.7M in payments, with an average of $15.1K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Smith County?
No. In Smith County, Heat Wave has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $21.4M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Smith County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Smith County was 2008, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Smith County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Smith County, Texas has an overall risk score of 84.2 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively High, while community resilience comes in at Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $43.1M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Smith County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Smith County is Heat Wave (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Lightning (Relatively High) and Cold Wave (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts heat wave here at 19 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 316 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Smith County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Texas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events