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Kentucky · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

McCracken County, KY

23 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

23
FEMA declarations
17
Major disasters
90
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

McCracken County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 23 declarations, more than 62% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 18% below the Kentucky county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 10%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 10%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
23
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
307
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 21145 · McCracken County 23 declarations · rank 1186/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-MID · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 23
  • MAJOR-MID 74%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,186
  • PHOTO-FINISH Roanoke
  • NRI-MID 90
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -18%

Nearest declaration peer: Roanoke, VA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Kentucky state profile

McCracken County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among McCracken County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows McCracken County carries 23 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1186 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How McCracken County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

McCracken County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · McCracken County

23 Top 38% higher than 62% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

McCracken County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Kentucky avg44/10089.7/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Kentucky county average

What does McCracken County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 307 paid claims, totaling $8.6M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $28.0K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Kentucky county averages 28.1 federal declaration records, while McCracken County has 23. The gap is 18% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 89.7/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $78.9M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Moderate and community resilience Very High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Earthquake carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 95 years here.

63 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

McCracken County, KY · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
17/30

23 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.1x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

23 declarations (0.8x state county average of 28)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

17 of 23 declarations are major disasters (74%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in McCracken County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - McCracken County

McCracken County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 48, Flood 48, Hurricane 8, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 41 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 41 8-hazard mean
McCracken County NRI risk profile FIPS 21145 · displayed-hazard mean 41/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

23

Above median

Major Disaster share

74%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

90

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike McCracken County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Earthquake Relatively Moderate roughly once every 95 years
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 11 modeled event-days per year
Ice Storm Relatively High an average of 1.2 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 6.7 times per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 4 years
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 4 times per year
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 3 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 5.2 times per year
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 56 times per year
Drought Relatively Moderate 6.5 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 58 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 7,044 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 10
Flood 5
Biological 2
Snowstorm 2
Severe Ice Storm 2
Winter Storm 1
Hurricane 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on McCracken County's record, 43% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 17 73.9%

of all 23 declarations

Emergency - 6 26.1%

of all 23 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 3
2024 1
2023 1
2020 3
2019 1
2018 1
2015 1
2011 1
2009 3
2005 1
1997 1
1996 1
1991 1
1989 1
Show 2 earlier declaration years
1975 1
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 23 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 23 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3633 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4864 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2025-04-24
3626 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-03
3624 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES EM Severe Storm 2025-02-16
4804 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2024-07-23
4702 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2023-04-10
4540 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2020-04-24
4497 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-28
3469 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4428 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2019-04-17
4361 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2018-04-26
4216 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, SNOWSTORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Snowstorm 2015-04-30
1976 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-04
1818 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 2009-02-05
3302 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2009-01-28
1802 SEVERE WIND STORM ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION IKE DR Severe Storm 2008-10-09
3231 HURRICANE KATRINA EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1163 SEVERE STORM, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 1997-03-04
1089 BLIZZARD OF 96 DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
893 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1991-01-29
Show 3 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
821 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1989-02-24
461 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1975-03-29
381 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-05-11

Storm Events in Kentucky

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to McCracken County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,702 9 56 $55.2M
Flash Flood 1,757 65 16 $42.6M
Flood 1,646 31 6 $37.1M
Hail 1,534 1 0 $4.7M
Winter Weather 1,079 14 54 $655.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

307

Total Paid

$8.6M

Avg Per Claim

$28.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 89.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$78.9M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Earthquake Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively High
Winter Weather Relatively High
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Moderate
Landslide Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Wildfire Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Earthquake

Earthquake is the model's clearest example of a hazard with no season and no warning. Its expected loss is driven less by how often shaking occurs than by how much of the building stock predates modern seismic codes, so exposure can be high in places where nothing has happened for a long time.

Worth noting for McCracken County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Earthquake carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

McCracken County's closest FEMA peer: Sacramento County, CA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for McCracken County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for McCracken County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for McCracken County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

McCracken County's NFIP claims file (307 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in McCracken County?
The most common disaster type in McCracken County is Severe Storm, with 10 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (5), Biological (2), Snowstorm (2).
How does McCracken County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Kentucky average?
The typical Kentucky county has 28.1 FEMA declaration records; McCracken County has 23, or 18% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 11% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has McCracken County received?
McCracken County has received 17 major disaster declarations, representing 74% of all 23 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has McCracken County filed?
McCracken County has 307 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $8.6M in payments, with an average of $28.0K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in McCracken County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in McCracken County was 2009, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for McCracken County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, McCracken County, Kentucky has an overall risk score of 89.7 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively Moderate, while community resilience comes in at Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $78.9M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to McCracken County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for McCracken County as of the latest release is Earthquake (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Heat Wave (Relatively Moderate) and Ice Storm (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts earthquake here at roughly once every 95 years. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for McCracken County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Kentucky profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events