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North Dakota · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Rolette County, ND

25 FEMA disaster declarations (1969-2022), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

25
FEMA declarations
23
Major disasters
53
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Rolette County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 25 declarations, more than 71% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 3% below the North Dakota county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 47%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 47%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
25
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
4
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Rolette County compare?

Rolette County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

25 Top 29% higher than 71% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Rolette County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the North Dakota county average

0/100100/100North Dakota avg22/10052.9/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the North Dakota county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Rolette County is led by Cold Wave (about $3.9M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Wildfire carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Rolette County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 52.9/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Very Low (roughly $10.7M in annualized losses), and a Very High social-vulnerability profile combined with Very Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Wildfire carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 370 years here.

Declaration frequency

Nationally, Rolette County's 25 FEMA records form a high-volume history; within North Dakota, however, the count is 3% below the county mean. 23 entries carry the Major Disaster classification. The largest incident group is Flood, appearing 13 times. The full 53-year record averages 0.5 declarations annually. A DR label alone does not say whether Individual Assistance, Public Assistance, or both followed.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 4 claims and $58.5K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a North Dakota county averages 25.9 federal declaration records, while Rolette County has 25. The gap is 3% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

66 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Rolette County, ND · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
18/30

25 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.2x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

25 declarations (1.0x state county average of 26)

Major Disaster Share Very High
23/25

23 of 25 declarations are major disasters (92%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Rolette County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. North Dakota Avg

-3%

State avg: 25.9

vs. National Avg

+21%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.5

Over 53 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Rolette County

Rolette County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 25, Wildfire 48, Drought 8, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 22 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 22 8-hazard mean
Rolette County NRI risk profile FIPS 38079 · displayed-hazard mean 22/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

25

High volume

Major Disaster share

92%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

53

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Rolette County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Wildfire Relatively Moderate roughly once every 370 years
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 20 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively High roughly once every 2 years
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 23 times per year
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 7 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 1.7 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 4 years
Drought Very Low 12 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 26 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 12,048 years
Heat Wave Very Low 0.5 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 13
Severe Storm 8
Biological 2
Snowstorm 1
Coastal Storm 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Rolette County's record, 52% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 23 92.0%

of all 25 declarations

Emergency - 2 8.0%

of all 25 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2022 1
2020 2
2017 1
2013 1
2011 1
2009 1
2006 2
2005 2
2001 1
2000 1
1999 1
1998 1
1997 2
1995 1
1994 1
Show 6 earlier declaration years
1993 1
1979 1
1976 1
1975 1
1974 1
1969 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 25 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 25 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4660 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2022-07-13
4509 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-01
3477 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4323 FLOODING DR Flood 2017-07-12
4118 FLOODING DR Flood 2013-05-29
1981 FLOODING DR Flood 2011-05-10
1829 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-03-24
1645 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND GROUND SATURATION DR Severe Storm 2006-06-05
1616 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND RECORD AND/OR NEAR RECORD SNOW DR Snowstorm 2005-11-21
3247 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-13
1597 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND GROUND SATURATION DR Severe Storm 2005-07-22
1376 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, & GROUND SATURATION DR Flood 2001-05-28
1334 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING AND GROUND SATURATION DR Severe Storm 2000-06-27
1279 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, SNOW, ICE, GROUND SATURATION, LANSLIDES, MUDSLIDES, AND TOR DR Flood 1999-06-08
1220 FLOODING, GROUND SATURATION,SEVERE STORMS DR Flood 1998-06-15
1174 SEVERE FLOODING,SEVERE WINTER STORMS, SNOWMELT, SPRING RAINS DR Flood 1997-04-07
1157 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DR Severe Storm 1997-01-12
1050 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND GROUND SATURATION DR Severe Storm 1995-05-16
1032 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1994-07-01
1001 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-07-26
Show 5 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
581 SEVERE STORMS, SNOWMELT & FLOODING DR Flood 1979-04-26
501 FLOODING DR Flood 1976-04-16
469 FLOODING FROM RAINS & SNOWMELT DR Flood 1975-05-24
434 HEAVY RAINS, SNOWMELT & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-05-14
256 FLOODING DR Flood 1969-04-18

Storm Events in North Dakota

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Rolette County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 2,705 0 2 $116.1M
Thunderstorm Wind 2,459 2 10 $67.0M
High Wind 1,184 1 1 $2.9M
Heavy Snow 925 0 3 $650.0K
Blizzard 905 2 2 $60.0M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

4

Total Paid

$58.5K

Avg Per Claim

$14.6K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 52.9/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$10.7M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Wildfire Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively High
Ice Storm Relatively High
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Drought Very Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Wildfire

Wildfire risk in the model reflects fuel, terrain, weather and how much development sits in the wildland-urban interface. It is one of the few hazards where the exposure is materially changed by land management and building choices, not only by where the county happens to be.

Worth noting for Rolette County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Wildfire carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Rolette County's closest FEMA peer: Buchanan County, IA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Rolette County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Rolette County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 25 FEMA declarations, Rolette County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Rolette County?
The most common disaster type in Rolette County is Flood, with 13 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (8), Biological (2), Snowstorm (1).
How does Rolette County's FEMA declaration record compare with the North Dakota average?
The typical North Dakota county has 25.9 FEMA declaration records; Rolette County has 25, or 3% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 21% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Rolette County received?
Rolette County has received 23 major disaster declarations, representing 92% of all 25 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Rolette County filed?
Rolette County has 4 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $58.5K in payments, with an average of $14.6K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Rolette County?
No. In Rolette County, Wildfire has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Cold Wave leads Expected Annual Loss at about $3.9M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Rolette County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Rolette County was 1997, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1969 to 2022.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Rolette County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Rolette County, North Dakota has an overall risk score of 52.9 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very High; on community resilience, Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $10.7M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Rolette County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Rolette County is Wildfire (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Winter Weather (Relatively High) and Ice Storm (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts wildfire here at roughly once every 370 years. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Rolette County

Against a North Dakota county mean of 26 declarations, Rolette County, ND records 25, or 3% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as high activity.

  • Major Disaster is the largest group (23 of 25) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. North Dakota overview
  • Nationally the county exceeds 71% of recorded county totals, but its own North Dakota benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
  • A short NFIP claims file cannot establish low flood exposure; the data guide explains the limits of each federal measure. Disaster-data guide

A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.